Document library
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The consumers' view of healthcare insurance products (slides)
JOHN JOSEPH AT THE PLENARY SESSION 1. Consumers level of understanding and desire to understand “If I have a Critical Illness the policy will pay me an income.” “If I have a Critical Illness the policy will pay my mortgage off.” “If I die the policy ... read more >>
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Is there a role for insured LTC? A debate on the virtues or otherwise of the current insured LTC product and market (slides)
1 Balloon debate - is there a role for insured LTC? 1 October 2002 Scarman House, The University of Warwick, Coventry Balloon debate - characteristics Less formal than traditional debate Interactive - audience can contribute ... read more >>
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Costs of sickness absence and their management in the UK market (slides)
1 Risk Geographies Understanding risk in n dimensions Richard Baddon Paul Coulthard Agenda Introduction - background and context The Risk Geographies framework Worked example illustration of the process Summary Introduction background and ... read more >>
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7 million people can't be wrong, can they? - Cash plans (Handout)
7 MILLION PEOPLE CAN’T BE WRONG, CAN THEY? Simon Grout Simon Jeffery Shane Kingston Stephen Evans Melanie Price Philip Wood What on Earth is a Cash Plan? Simon Jeffery What You Get For Your Dollar Benefits Vs Contributions £3 per week £90 dental ... read more >>
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Actuaries and social policy - Should the profession seek to influence social policy?
2002 HEALTHCARE CONFERENCE Actuaries and Social Policy: Should the profession seek to influence Social Policy? Brian Ridsdale Summary Things have changed immensely since Beveridge set out to battle the five giants of want, ignorance, disease, squalor and ... read more >>
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Professional responsibilities in volatile markets
Scheme Actuaries will be aware that there has been much press comment of late about the falls in world equity markets and the effect on pension schemes. Whilst the statutory certification system in place at the current time is sufficiently robust to cope ... read more >>
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GN13: Actuarial statements required in connection with the US statements of FAS 87, 88 and 132. Version 3.2. Track changes version
This copy of GN13 shows the track changes between version 3.1 and 3.2. It is not part of the Manual of Actuarial Practice MAP/GN13 V3.12 THIS IS A TRACK CHANGES DOCUMENT AND IS NOT PART OF THE MANUAL OF ACTUARIAL PRACTICE B13.1 GN13: Actuarial ... read more >>
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The worst event?
abcd General Insurance Spring Seminar ‘Facing up to Risk’ 13-14 May 2002 Scarman House, University of Warwick, Coventry abcd The Worst Event Richard Winter K P M G The Worst Event Suggest a title for a workshop to Julian Leigh, ... read more >>
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Setting investment strategy for the long term - a closer look at defined contribution strategy
This paper considers how investment time horizon affects investment strategy. We consider whether equity risk decays over time i.e. whether the notion of time diversification has validity. SETTING INVESTMENT STRATEGY FOR THE LONG TERM A Closer Look at ... read more >>
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Estimating the relative performance of equities and bonds over the next 25 years
This paper estimates the risk that equities will under-perform bonds over the next 25 years. Reasonable estimates are that, over the next 25 years: l) The probability that equity will under-perform bonds is 23.0%. 2) The cost of guaranteeing an equity fund ... read more >>
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Discussion: Do pension funds need hedge funds, and vice versa? A discussion on the merits of institutional involvement in the hedge fund industry
A debate on the merits of institutional involvement in the hedge fund industry. For a number of years, the Finance and Investment Board has formed working parties to look at hedge funds and the resulting papers have been presented and discussed at the ... read more >>
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A universal performance measure
We present a new approach to analysing returns distributions, the Omega function, which may be used as a natural performance measure. Analysis based on Omega is in the spirit of the downside, lower partial moment and gain-loss literatures. The Omega ... read more >>
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Monitoring the effectiveness of asset allocation decisions
In this paper we describe the main approaches to asset allocation decisions in the life and pension industries, discuss the issues regarding measuring the effectiveness of asset allocation advice, and suggest possible ways in which the effectiveness of ... read more >>
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Continuous compounding, volatility and the equity premium
This paper reviews some of the fundamental ideas of modern portfolio theory and the supporting empirical evidence that is relevant to actuarial modelling of equity markets or equities as an asset class. There is a chasm between those who believe that ... read more >>
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Modelling corporate bonds: considerations for stochastic modelling
Many of the newly issued corporate bonds are finding their way into insurance and pension fund asset portfolios. Modelling these bonds is tricky. Historic return distributions are well behaved and the observed credit spreads exceed all estimates of ... read more >>
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Assessing the effects of buybacks on investment trust discounts
Buybacks for investment trusts have become common since 1999. The stated motivations for investment trusts buying back shares include ongoing reduction of discounts and a reduction in discount volatility. We describe the buybacks made over the study period ... read more >>
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Predicted tracking errors – the search continues
In June 2000 this working party produced a paper entitled “Predicted Tracking Errors: Fact or Fantasy?” This highlighted flaws in the tracking error predictions of risk models and raised concerns over the reliance placed on these predictions ... read more >>
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An analysis of the behaviour of commercial real estate indices
There has been criticism within the real estate professions that the lack of availability of good quality data has led actuarial professionals and academics to ignore real estate for modelling purposes. It has sometimes been asserted that this is one of ... read more >>
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Mean reversion and market predictability
This paper examines some arguments for the predictability of share price and currency movements. We examine data from 1976-2001, and reproduce some classical regression results. On further investigation, we find biases in the classical estimation ... read more >>
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Common measures of value management
This paper represents work in progress, with the aim being to investigate additional measures and test further data, focusing particularly on the potential for applying real options techniques to securities investment. Many metrics are used every day as ... read more >>