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Actuarial Research Centre (ARC)

The ARC is the IFoA’s global network of researchers from around the world. A core part of the ARC is the delivery of industry-relevant research. View some of the online material arising from ARC research below. All videos are free to watch and eligible for CPD.
2019

ARC 2019 Mortality and Longevity Symposium, Longevity and Morbidity Risk programme
4-6 June 2019

This ARC research programme is application driven, with impact and innovation in the pensions and insurance industries and beyond as its primary aims. In this video, Professor Andrew Cairns (Principal Investigator) discusses his work on LSOA mortality data and shares some findings on variations in mortality rates (by socio-economic groups and by regions) in England.

Joint CIA, IFoA, SOA Webcast: Measuring Pension Plan Risk from an Economic Capital Perspective
Wednesday 15 May 2019

Jointly sponsored by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, Society of Actuaries, and CIA, this webcast will present research that compares the risk profiles of pension plans in the UK, the US, and Canada.

At the end of this session, attendees will be able to:

  • Identify the key items that affect the financial risk of a defined benefit pension plan;
  • Compare the financial risk implications of different pension plan designs; and
  • Evaluate the impact of alternative asset mix policies on the financial risk of a pension plan.

Economic capital, the 0.5th percentile result of a stochastic projection, is the primary risk measure employed. The research examines not only the difference in economic capital requirements between typical plans in the three countries, but also its sensitivity to changes in asset allocation, contributions, and starting funded status. This webcast is part of a wider international research programme, co-sponsored by the IFoA, looking into the impact ageing populations have on asset values over long time periods and considering the potential impact on large pension plans in Canada, the UK and the United States. The research is being conducted by the University of Waterloo (Canada) and the University of Kent (UK). Further details about the research can be found here.

Speakers: Stephen Bonnar (FCIA), University of Waterloo 
Aniketh Pittea and Pradip Tapadar, School of Mathematics, Statistics & Actuarial Science, University of Kent

ARC Event: ERM Results Launch
Thursday 28 February 2019

The IFoA’s Actuarial Research Centre (ARC) held a research results launch event on the subject of Equity Release Mortgages (ERM): No Negative Equity Guarantee (NNEG) at Staple Inn Hall, London.

In July 2018, the IFoA and the Association of British Insurers (ABI), through the ARC agreed to jointly commission an independent piece of research to determine appropriate methods for determining ERM cash flows and their value.

The University of Kent led by Professor Radu Tunaru (Senior Researcher) was awarded the contract to carry out this piece of research, which is shared here.

 

2018

ARC Webinar Series 2018: Behavioural Aspects of Institutional Investment Decision-Making
Thursday 4 October 2018
This webinar explores the decision-making of institutional investors, in particular insurers and pension schemes, and the biases that may affect their investment decisions.

Sponsored by Aon and Invesco

Speakers: Professor Peter Ayton (City, University of London) and Dr Iain Clacher (University of Leeds).

ARC Webinar Series 2018: Minimising Longevity and Investment Risk while Optimising Future Pension Plans
Wednesday 3 October 2018
This webinar covers the development of pension product designs that keep customers' needs at the forefront, with a real income in retirement that minimises costs for the customer.

Speakers: Dr Catherine Donnelly (Heriot Watt University).

ARC Webinar Series 2018: Modelling, Measurement and Management of Longevity and Morbidity Risk
Tuesday 2 October 2018
This webinar is about developing a new generation of mortality and morbidity models, with a specific focus on the drivers for mortality.

Speakers: Dr Torsten Kleinow (Heriot- Watt University) and Dr George Streftaris (Heriot-Watt University)

2018 ARC Webinar Series: Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding Longevity and Morbidity
Monday 17 September 2018
In this webinar new statistical and actuarial methods in the use of Big Data are discussed, in the context of health and wider applications.

Speakers: Professor Elena Kulinskaya (University of East Anglia) and Co-Investigator Nigel Wright (Aviva).

ARC Sessional Reseach Event: How Medical Advances and Health Interventions Will Shape Future Longevity
Monday 25 June 2018
In this ARC sessional Professor Elena Kulinskaya will discuss her paper How Medical Advances and Health Interventions Will Shape Future Longevity which shows how estimated mortality hazards can be translated to hypothetical changes in life expectancies at the individual and population levels.
ARC Sessional Research Event:Self-selection and Risk Sharing in a Modern World of Life-Long Annuities
Monday 14 May 2018
In this ARC sessional Professor Jens Perch Nielsen and his co-authors (from Cass Business School) find new solutions to three of the most current and challenging problems in pension research.
ARC Sessional Research Event: Still Living with Mortality: The Longevity Risk Transfer Market after One Decade
29 January 2018
This paper updates Living with Mortality written more than a decade ago. It describes how the longevity risk transfer market has developed over the intervening period, and, in particular, how insurance-based solutions – buy-outs, buy-ins and longevity insurance – triumphed over the capital markets solutions that were expected to dominate at the time.

 

2017 ARC Webinar Series

Minimising Longevity and Investment Risk while optimising Future Pension Plans 14 June 2017
This webinar is part of a series to showcase three large research programmes currently running through the ARC, which seeks to address some of the significant challenges in actuarial science.
Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding Longevity and Morbidity 13 June 2017
From this webinar you will learn about the objectives of this research programme and some of the early developments since its commencement in autumn 2016.

Speakers: 
Professor Elena Kulinskaya (University of East Anglia) – Principal Investigator for the research programme
Nigel Wright (Aviva)

Facilitator:
Professor Andrew Cairns (Director of the Actuarial Research Centre)

Modelling, Measurement and Management of Longevity and Morbidity Risk 17 May 2017
Developing a new generation of mortality and morbidity models, with a specific focus on the drivers for mortality.
Speaker: Professor Andrew Cairns, Heriot-Watt University

 

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Events calendar

  • Autumn Lecture 2020: Professor Elroy Dimson

    Online webinar
    14 October 2020

    Spaces available

    Many individuals and institutions have a long-term focus, and invest funds for the benefit of future generations. Their strategy should reflect their long horizon. University endowments are one of the oldest classes of institutional investor, and I will present the first study of the management of these endowments over the very long term.

  • GIRO Conference 2020 Webinar Series

    Available to watch globally in November.
    02-13 November 2020
    Spaces available

    This year's GIRO has been re-designed as a virtual conference to offer members and non-members the opportunity to get up to date content from leading experts in the general insurance field via online webinars. All sessions will be recorded and made available to purchase and re-watch post-event on the IFoA's GI Online Learning Resource area.

  • Life Conference 2020 Webinar Series

    Online
    16 November 2020 - 27 November 2020

    Spaces available

    This year's Life Conference has been re-designed as a virtual conference to offer members and non-members the opportunity to get up to date content from leading experts in the life insurance field via online webinars. All sessions will be recorded and made available to purchase and re-watch post-event on the IFoA's website.

  • Spaces available

    The webinar will discuss the challenges and opportunities schemes face in evaluating end game options, choosing a target state and understanding the impact this strategic decision could have on member outcomes long after the “end state” is reached. Adolfo, Kevin and Rhian bring over 60 years of experience in the industry and a variety of perspectives as scheme actuary, covenant adviser, trustee, de-risking adviser and insurer.

  • Spaces available

    Cash-flow driven investing is a game-changer for DB pension funds navigating their end-game. Suitable for sponsors who want to reduce risks on their balance sheets. And for trustees, it shifts the focus to providing greater certainty of returns, managing funding level volatility and ensuring they have enough income to pay cash-flow requirements.

  • Spaces available

    The talk will provide an understanding of the priorities and relationships between deficit reduction contributions, in the context of wider scheme funding, and different types of value outflow from the employer based on the working party’s recently published report.