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Actuarial Research Centre (ARC)

The ARC is the IFoA’s global network of researchers from around the world. A core part of the ARC is the delivery of industry-relevant research. View some of the online material arising from ARC research below. All videos are free to watch and eligible for CPD.
2019

ARC 2019 Mortality and Longevity Symposium, Longevity and Morbidity Risk programme
4-6 June 2019

This ARC research programme is application driven, with impact and innovation in the pensions and insurance industries and beyond as its primary aims. In this video, Professor Andrew Cairns (Principal Investigator) discusses his work on LSOA mortality data and shares some findings on variations in mortality rates (by socio-economic groups and by regions) in England.

Joint CIA, IFoA, SOA Webcast: Measuring Pension Plan Risk from an Economic Capital Perspective
Wednesday 15 May 2019

Jointly sponsored by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, Society of Actuaries, and CIA, this webcast will present research that compares the risk profiles of pension plans in the UK, the US, and Canada.

At the end of this session, attendees will be able to:

  • Identify the key items that affect the financial risk of a defined benefit pension plan;
  • Compare the financial risk implications of different pension plan designs; and
  • Evaluate the impact of alternative asset mix policies on the financial risk of a pension plan.

Economic capital, the 0.5th percentile result of a stochastic projection, is the primary risk measure employed. The research examines not only the difference in economic capital requirements between typical plans in the three countries, but also its sensitivity to changes in asset allocation, contributions, and starting funded status. This webcast is part of a wider international research programme, co-sponsored by the IFoA, looking into the impact ageing populations have on asset values over long time periods and considering the potential impact on large pension plans in Canada, the UK and the United States. The research is being conducted by the University of Waterloo (Canada) and the University of Kent (UK). Further details about the research can be found here.

Speakers: Stephen Bonnar (FCIA), University of Waterloo 
Aniketh Pittea and Pradip Tapadar, School of Mathematics, Statistics & Actuarial Science, University of Kent

ARC Event: ERM Results Launch
Thursday 28 February 2019

The IFoA’s Actuarial Research Centre (ARC) held a research results launch event on the subject of Equity Release Mortgages (ERM): No Negative Equity Guarantee (NNEG) at Staple Inn Hall, London.

In July 2018, the IFoA and the Association of British Insurers (ABI), through the ARC agreed to jointly commission an independent piece of research to determine appropriate methods for determining ERM cash flows and their value.

The University of Kent led by Professor Radu Tunaru (Senior Researcher) was awarded the contract to carry out this piece of research, which is shared here.

 

2018

ARC Webinar Series 2018: Behavioural Aspects of Institutional Investment Decision-Making
Thursday 4 October 2018
This webinar explores the decision-making of institutional investors, in particular insurers and pension schemes, and the biases that may affect their investment decisions.

Sponsored by Aon and Invesco

Speakers: Professor Peter Ayton (City, University of London) and Dr Iain Clacher (University of Leeds).

ARC Webinar Series 2018: Minimising Longevity and Investment Risk while Optimising Future Pension Plans
Wednesday 3 October 2018
This webinar covers the development of pension product designs that keep customers' needs at the forefront, with a real income in retirement that minimises costs for the customer.

Speakers: Dr Catherine Donnelly (Heriot Watt University).

ARC Webinar Series 2018: Modelling, Measurement and Management of Longevity and Morbidity Risk
Tuesday 2 October 2018
This webinar is about developing a new generation of mortality and morbidity models, with a specific focus on the drivers for mortality.

Speakers: Dr Torsten Kleinow (Heriot- Watt University) and Dr George Streftaris (Heriot-Watt University)

2018 ARC Webinar Series: Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding Longevity and Morbidity
Monday 17 September 2018
In this webinar new statistical and actuarial methods in the use of Big Data are discussed, in the context of health and wider applications.

Speakers: Professor Elena Kulinskaya (University of East Anglia) and Co-Investigator Nigel Wright (Aviva).

ARC Sessional Reseach Event: How Medical Advances and Health Interventions Will Shape Future Longevity
Monday 25 June 2018
In this ARC sessional Professor Elena Kulinskaya will discuss her paper How Medical Advances and Health Interventions Will Shape Future Longevity which shows how estimated mortality hazards can be translated to hypothetical changes in life expectancies at the individual and population levels.
ARC Sessional Research Event:Self-selection and Risk Sharing in a Modern World of Life-Long Annuities
Monday 14 May 2018
In this ARC sessional Professor Jens Perch Nielsen and his co-authors (from Cass Business School) find new solutions to three of the most current and challenging problems in pension research.
ARC Sessional Research Event: Still Living with Mortality: The Longevity Risk Transfer Market after One Decade
29 January 2018
This paper updates Living with Mortality written more than a decade ago. It describes how the longevity risk transfer market has developed over the intervening period, and, in particular, how insurance-based solutions – buy-outs, buy-ins and longevity insurance – triumphed over the capital markets solutions that were expected to dominate at the time.

 

2017 ARC Webinar Series

Minimising Longevity and Investment Risk while optimising Future Pension Plans 14 June 2017
This webinar is part of a series to showcase three large research programmes currently running through the ARC, which seeks to address some of the significant challenges in actuarial science.
Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding Longevity and Morbidity 13 June 2017
From this webinar you will learn about the objectives of this research programme and some of the early developments since its commencement in autumn 2016.

Speakers: 
Professor Elena Kulinskaya (University of East Anglia) – Principal Investigator for the research programme
Nigel Wright (Aviva)

Facilitator:
Professor Andrew Cairns (Director of the Actuarial Research Centre)

Modelling, Measurement and Management of Longevity and Morbidity Risk 17 May 2017
Developing a new generation of mortality and morbidity models, with a specific focus on the drivers for mortality.
Speaker: Professor Andrew Cairns, Heriot-Watt University

 

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Events calendar

  • The Great Risk Transfer – Breakfast briefing and launch event

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn London WC1V 7QJ
    31 January 2019

    Spaces available

    Launch of the IFoA’s 2020 thought leadership campaign The Great Risk Transfer. The campaign will examine the trend of the transfer of risk from institutions to individuals, and how people can be better equipped to manage the financial risks they now face. At this breakfast event the IFoA will launch a call for evidence on this topic.

  • Sessional Meeting - Silent Cyber Assessment Framework

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    9 December 2019

    Spaces available

    The (re)insurance industry is faced with a growing risk related to the development of information technology (IT). This growth is creating an increasingly digitally interconnected world with more and more dependence being placed on IT systems to manage processes. Note: Registration is from 17.30 in time for the sessional to begin at 18.00.

  • CPD Member Event in Shanghai, China

    Function Room, F39, S1 Fuson Group, the Bund Finance Centre, No.600 Zhongshang East 2nd Road, Huangpu District, Shanghai Chinese address:BFC外滩国际金融金融中心,S1复星集团,39层报告厅,上海中山东二路600号
    9 December 2019

    Spaces available

    The IFoA’s President-elect Tan Suee Chieh will visit Shanghai. We will host CPD and Awards Presenting event on Monday 9 December 2019. The event is part of Mr Tan’s first presidential trip to China.

  • Professional Skills Training - London (10 December 2019)

    Staple Inn, High Holborn, London WC1V 7QJ  
    10 December 2019

    Spaces available

    This event will be of interest to students and recently qualified actuaries.

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020.  The content and discussion at this session is particularly tailored to actuarial students and newly qualified actuaries working in any area and the format is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions with your peers.

  • IFoA Joint Member Event with the Sunshine Insurance Group, Beijing China

    Room TBC, Kuntai International Plaza, No.12, Chaowai Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing 地址:会议室待定,北京市朝阳区朝外大街乙12号1号楼昆泰国际大厦
    12 December 2019

    Spaces available

    The IFoA’s President-elect Tan Suee Chieh will visit Beijing. We will co-host CPD and Awards Presenting event with the Sunshine Insurance Group on Thursday 12 December 2019. The event is part of Mr Tan’s first presidential trip to China.

  • ARC Sessional Research Event: Drivers of Mortality - Risk Factors and Inequality

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    6 January 2020

    Spaces available

    The authors will focus on a large dataset obtained from the UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) and related sources. Data are available at the level of Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) – small geographical areas with, typically, 1000-2000 residents and include death counts, exposures and a significant number of socio-economic variables including the index of multiple deprivation (IMD).

  • SIAS Event: My Journey to Data Science, Big Data and AI

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    7 January 2020

    Spaces available

    Patrick Lee is an actuary who has made the transition to working in software architecture and artificial intelligence (AI). He holds Microsoft Professional qualifications in Data Science, Big Data and AI and is currently working towards a DevOps (the automation of software testing and deployment) qualification. He is a member of the IFoA Council and is also President of the Wessex Actuarial Society. He is also a member of the IFoA and the RSS's joint Data Science Focus Group and will talk on the ethical use of AI. 

  • Spaces available

    This presentation covers the detail for how the matching adjustment is calculated. A small simple example spreadsheet is provided and discussed in detail.

    For actuaries wanting to get more involved with the matching adjustment, this is the opportunity to get a detailed description of the mechanics involved. This includes cashflows derisking, PRA tests as well as hypothecation.

    The presentation is provided by James Sharpe who has worked on a number of matching adjustment calculations with several firms.

  • IFoA Volunteer Recognition Reception

    Staple Inn, 4 High Holborn, Holborn, London WC1V 6DR, UK
    15 January 2020

    Spaces available

    As a thank you to all our Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) volunteers, you are invited to join us at Staple Inn Hall, for an evening of drinks, canapes and networking, in London.

    IFoA President, John Taylor, will be attending and will make a speech

    If you support the IFoA as a volunteer (member or non-member), or in any other role, and you are going to be in London on 15 January, please book your place and join us at this reception.

     

  • Sessional Meeting - Operational Risk Dependencies

    Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh 9 Queen St Edinburgh EH2 1JQ
    20 January 2020

    Spaces available

    The Operational Risk Working Party aims to assist actuaries and others in the modelling and management of operational risk. One of the key challenges in modelling operational risk is the modelling of dependencies between operational risks, and between operational and non-operational risks such as market, credit and insurance risk. Their paper seeks to assist in this regard, and help develop good practice in setting assumptions and modelling operational risk dependencies. 

  • KSS event in Glasgow: Public Sector Pensions

    Hymans Robertson, Glasgow 20 Waterloo St, Glasgow
    30 January 2020

    Spaces available

    – the unappreciated key assumption, the resulting unsustainable promises, the unmanaged risk and the unrecognised debt? 

    Speaker: Allan Martin will present this talk on 30 January in Glasgow, Stirling and Edinburgh. If you wish to register for another location please return to the Events Calendar.

  • KSS event in Stirling: Public Sector Pensions

    M&G Prudential, Stirling Craigforth Campus, Stirling
    30 January 2020

    Spaces available

    – the unappreciated key assumption, the resulting unsustainable promises, the unmanaged risk and the unrecognised debt? 

    Speaker: Allan Martin will present this talk on 30 January in Glasgow, Stirling and Edinburgh. If you wish to register for another location please return to the Events Calendar.

  • KSS event in Edinburgh: Public Sector Pensions

    Hymans Robertson 1, Exchange Place, Semple St, Edinburgh
    30 January 2020

    Spaces available

    – the unappreciated key assumption, the resulting unsustainable promises, the unmanaged risk and the unrecognised debt? 

    Speaker: Allan Martin will present this talk on 30 January in Glasgow, Stirling and Edinburgh. If you wish to register for another location please return to the Events Calendar.

  • Professional Skills Training - London (11 February 2020)

    Staple Inn, High Holborn, London WC1V 7QJ         
    11 February 2020

    Spaces available

    A Trusted Profession

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Pensions, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • Sessional: Impact of E-cigarettes Working Party

    Royal College of Physicians, 9 Queen St, Edinburgh EH2 1JQ
    24 February 2020

    Spaces available

    This sessional meeting will be of direct interest to actuaries and others working in the in the Health and Care, Life or Pensions sectors or indeed actuaries with an interest in morbidity or mortality. Note: Registration is from 17.30 in time for the sessional to begin at 18.00.

  • Professional Skills Training - Edinburgh (25 February 2020)

    IFoA (Edinburgh), Level 2, Exchange Crescent 7 Conference Square Edinburgh EH3 8RA
    25 February 2020

    Spaces available

    A Trusted Profession

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Pensions, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • Spring Lecture 2020, Edinburgh - Vicky Pryce

    Assembly Rooms, 54 George St, Edinburgh EH2 2LR
    25 March 2020

    Spaces available

    What next in Economic Policy?

    Please join us on 25 March 2020 for our annual Spring Lecture presented by Vicky Pryce in Edinburgh. 

  • IFoA Asia Conference 2020, Kuala Lumpur

    CCEC Nexus, 7, Jalan Kerinchi, Bangsar South, 59200 Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
    24-25 June 2020
    Spaces available

    The sixth annual Asia Conference once again offers a prestigious line-up of home and international speakers discussing the insurance and financial industry’s innovation and change in Asia. This year's conference in Kuala Lumpur will be hosted by Tan Suee Chieh, IFoA’s first Asian President. He will also make his Presidential address at this conference and will expand on the important elements of IFoA’s new strategy. 

    Additionally, this landmark conference will showcase how the IFoA is reinventing itself to support its members to succeed and thrive in a digital age, within traditional businesses and beyond, as a global organisation. 

    Not to be missed by international industry players, opinion formers, academic and industry leaders, actuaries and non-actuaries.