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Modelling and statistics

Videos and audio files of selected webinars and events on modelling and statistics

If you have already paid to watch a webinar or attend an event, please follow the instructions below:

IFoA members – Please login to the IFoA's Virtual Learning Environment (VLE) and watch the recordings there. You can also access specific recordings by clicking on the individual titles below.

If you are not a member of the IFoA –You will have received an email detailing the link to watch the recording.

2020

29 July 2020

Are we in the Era of Actuarial Data Science Modelling?

Join us for an exploration session on the use of data science in insurance companies today with examples how insurers are making sense of and using new data sources and technologies, exploration of practical applications of data science within actuarial work, the benefits of data-driven decisions to solve business problems using the power of data and technology, and the role that actuaries can play to harness the benefits of data science. 

A recording of this webinar is available for members and non-members to purchase.

Video costs:

Members: £15 | Non-members: £35

27 July 2020

Modelling Dangers – What to look out for in Terms of Poor Model Selection and Calibration

As insurers look towards their internal model calibration process for 2020 final year financials and statutory returns, actuaries need to deal with the complexity of adequately modelling their business in 2020 and beyond. This discussion will look at what poor model selection and calibration could look like – using inappropriate historical data; using incorrect 2020 mortality data; inappropriate stochastic model recalibration (or lack thereof). What about being prudent vs setting a best estimate? How do you allow for tail risks during a tail risk event?  

A recording of this webinar is available for members and non-members to purchase.

Video costs:

Members: £15 | Non-members: £35

23 July 2020

Towards Precision Insurance: dynamic hazards modelling in Big Data

In this talk, Elena demonstrates how the landmark survival modelling of electronic health records (EHR) can be used for dynamic prediction of individual and population life expectancy. 

Speaker: Elena Kulinskaya, University of East Anglia

A recording of this webinar is available for members and non-members to purchase.

Video costs:

Members: £15 | Non-members: £35

28 April 2020

Current Issues in Personal Injury Modelling

The Ogden Discount Rate shock of 2017 brought about a period of profound uncertainty to General Insurance market.  GI Actuaries' first task was to estimate the impact of the Ogden shocks, particularly to reserving and reinsurance pricing.  Their second was to navigate a period of framework uncertainty, maintaining an agility in actuarial modelling as the Civil Liability Bill took shape. 

Speaker: Justin Thomas, Guy Carpenter

A recording of this webinar is available for members and non-members to purchase.

Video costs:

Members: £15 | Non-members: £35

 

 

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Events calendar

  • GIRO 2020 Virtual Conference

    Available to watch globally in November.
    02-13 November 2020
    Spaces available

     

    This year's GIRO has been re-designed as a virtual conference to offer members and non-members the opportunity to get up to date content from leading experts in the general insurance field via online webinars. All sessions will be recorded and made available to purchase and re-watch post-event on the IFoA's GI Online Learning Resource area

  • Spaces available

    The webinar will discuss the challenges and opportunities schemes face in evaluating end game options, choosing a target state and understanding the impact this strategic decision could have on member outcomes long after the “end state” is reached. Adolfo, Kevin and Rhian bring over 60 years of experience in the industry and a variety of perspectives as scheme actuary, covenant adviser, trustee, de-risking adviser and insurer.

  • Spaces available

    Retail banking is going through a period of substantial change as it moves into the digital age. Banks have large amounts of data about their customers and about their risks. Open data application programming interface (APIs) and data science are enabling banks to use their data to offer innovative and sometimes personalised services. Data science is also adding value in risk areas such as fraud detection and cyber security. At the same time, the move to online banking is making it easier for firms including fintechs to enter banking without having to establish branch networks.

  • Spaces available

    Cash-flow driven investing is a game-changer for DB pension funds navigating their end-game. Suitable for sponsors who want to reduce risks on their balance sheets. And for trustees, it shifts the focus to providing greater certainty of returns, managing funding level volatility and ensuring they have enough income to pay cash-flow requirements.

  • Spaces available

    Patrick Kennedy, Partner at Gateley Legal and Founding Director of Entrust (a leading professional pensions trustee company), will be delivering an update on the latest legal developments during the course of 2020. With both a pensions legal perspective and over 25 years of trustee service, Patrick will seek to highlight how the letter of the law has continued to evolve against the backdrop of a difficult and challenging year

  • Spaces available

    The talk will provide an understanding of the priorities and relationships between deficit reduction contributions, in the context of wider scheme funding, and different types of value outflow from the employer based on the working party’s recently published report. 

  • Spaces available

    Covid-19 has required an urgent and cross-practice initiative to facilitate the extensive impact this pandemic has across all industries. IFoA members have been keen to contribute in a different way, so we developed the IFoA Covid-19 Action Taskforce [ICAT] to coordinate our effort, with a more efficient governance.

    We have over 500 volunteers and countless topics which we have amalgamated into 93 workstreams.