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Modelling, Measurement and Management of Longevity and Morbidity Risk

This programme is application driven, with impact and innovation in the pensions and insurance industries and beyond as its primary aims

Programme objectives

  • development of the next generation of single and multi-population mortality models that are robust, straightforward to apply and that are designed explicitly to push back the barriers to financial innovation
  • developing open access modelling of the key drivers of mortality such as smoking, obesity and other lifestyle factors and understanding how these interact with all-cause mortality and cause-of-death mortality data
  • development of a robust, scientific approach that helps key stakeholders to understand better the wider range of options for managing longevity risk
  • development of new methods for pricing and reserving for Critical Illness Insurance.

This multidisciplinary team is led by Professor Andrew Cairns (Heriot-Watt University). The programme is co-sponsored with the Society of Actuaries and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries. The programme supports two PhD students in actuarial science.

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Recent Events

ARC Webinar Series 2021: Introducing the new Longevity Index for England (LIFE) app, 23 June 2021 

This session explored how the new index has revealed previously uncaptured mortality inequalities by using predictive variables at a high degree of granularity. Globally renowned leader in actuarial science Professor Andrew Cairns and his co-investigator Torsten Kleinow demonstrated the uses of new LIFE index such as the causes of high or low mortality and regional differences in mortality. View the webinar. 

CIA Webcast, 29 January 2020

EPISODE 36: TRENDS IN CANADIAN MORTALITY BY PENSION LEVEL

Learn more about this joint study that used Canada Pension Plan and Québec Pension Plan data to examine the mortality of Canadian pensioners subdivided by pension level. Professor Andrew Cairns and Gavin Benjamin (Co-chair of the CIA's Project Oversight Group), discuss key findings, forensic analysis of mortality by pension level, data anomalies, and the benefits of collaboration. Read the paper: http://bit.ly/2NChJNV 

Annual ARC Workshop, 02 December 2019

The research team (Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh) discussed their work on mortality and deprivation, cause of death, and modelling the impact of socio-economic and geographical effects. The workshop highlighted the wider impact of this research programme, with further discussion on other areas of interest and development. The presentation slides from this workshop are available to view in the outputs and events section. Recordings of the event are available on the IFoA's YouTube channel.

Contact Details

If you want more information about our research programmes please contact the IFoA Actuarial Research Centre:

arc@actuaries.org.uk

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