- identification and quantification of the key factors affecting mortality/longevity such as lifestyle choices, medical conditions and/or interventions
- modelling of temporal changes in the factors affecting morbidity and mortality
- evaluation of plausible scenarios in mortality trends due to particular medical advances or lifestyle changes on the population of insureds of relevance to actuarial community
- tools to forecast longevity risk of a book based on realistic scenarios of uptake of various health behaviours and/or interventions, or of particular disruptions to population health.
Life expectancy calculator
- Family Medicine and Community Health Journal Do statins reduce mortality in older people? Findings from longitudinal study using primary care records, May 2021. Blog June 2021
- Insurance Mathematics and Economics Calculation of changes in individual and period life expectancy based on proportional hazards model of an intervention, Nov 2020
- The Actuary A Fine Scale, May 2020
- Journal of Hypertension Optimal systolic blood pressure targets in routine clinical care, Apr 2019
- The Actuary Statins: figures on the pulse, Aug 2018
- BMJ Survival prospects after acute myocardial infarction in the United Kingdom: a matched cohort study 1987-2011, Jan 2017
- Longevity Bulletin Use of big health and actuarial data for understanding longevity and morbidity risk, Dec 2016
- PLOS ONE Survival benefits of statins for primary prevention: a cohort study, Nov 2016
- ARC Webinar Series 2021 - Use of Primary Health Care Records Data in Actuarial Research, 9 March 2021
The research team discussed their findings on the longevity of people with major long term medical conditions such as diabetes, transient ischaemic attack and stroke and assessed the effects of key treatments such as hormone replacement therapy. A demonstration was given of the mylongevity.org and a shiny app for life expectancy with diabetes.
- ARC Technical Workshop Beyond Proportional Hazards, Staple Inn Hall, Oct 2019
- ARC Sessional How Medical Advances and Health Interventions Will Shape Future Longevity, Mar 2019
- ARC Webinar Series 2018 Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding longevity and morbidity risk, Sept 2018
- ARC Sessional How medical advances and health interventions will shape future longevity, June 2018
- ARC Webinar Series 2017 Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding Longevity and Morbidity, June 2017
If you want more information about our research programmes please contact the IFoA Actuarial Research Centre:
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Cancer incidence and mortality vary by region and socioeconomic status. Modelling the structure development and trends of cancer risk is important for insurance purposes and can impact pricing and reserving in related health insurance fields such as critical illness insurance and care provision.
A panel discussion with investment representatives discussing the impact of investment on climate change and vice versa.
This event is part of The Road to Glasgow: IFoA’s Sustainability Thought Leadership Series which will provide a platform for prominent contributors so that our members and others can understand the perspectives of a wide range of parties interested in the climate debate.
Climate change is one of the greatest risks facing our world today. Addressing it will require multi-faceted solutions. Through this panel session, we will explore the different levers that can be used to meet net-zero targets including climate science and data, government engagement, and mobilising green finance.
How governments and societies collectively respond to the climate crisis is increasingly being analysed through the lens of intergenerational fairness. Our expert panel will assess and explore the extent to which inter-generous fairness is being considered in climate policies, the lessons from those countries who are leading the way on fairness and justice in climate interventions, and more.
This practical course is aimed at actuaries at any stage of their career who want to develop their own growth mindset and apply it to their work setting and personal or professional lifelong learning. The content of the course builds on the lecture given by Dr Helen Wright on Growth Mindset as part of the President’s 2021 Lecture series, and will be delivered over a period of 2 months, from mid-October to early December.
The climate crisis and the degradation of our planet will affect societies everywhere. How we address these threats will require solutions that transcend borders. As a global profession, the actuarial community is well-placed to consider and propose effective risk management solutions to help manage the climate crisis.