Videos and audio files of selected events from our Sessional Research Programme

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2021

Sessional Meeting: Allowing for shocks in portfolio mortality models

The Covid-19 pandemic creates a challenge for actuaries analysing experience data that includes mortality shocks.  To address this we present a methodology for modelling portfolio mortality data that offers local flexibility in the time dimension.  The approach permits the identification of seasonal variation, mortality shocks, and late-reported deaths.  The methodology also allows actuaries to measure portfolio-specific mortality improvements.  Results are given for a mature annuity portfolio in the UK

Sessional Meeting: Your reserves may be best estimate, but are they valid?

This paper outlines key frameworks for reserving validation and techniques employed. Many companies lack an embedded reserve validation framework and validation is viewed as piecemeal and unstructured.  The paper outlines a case study demonstrating how successful machine learning techniques will become and then goes on to discuss implications.  The paper explores common validation approaches and their role in enhancing governance and confidence. 

Speakers: Al Lauder, DARAG; Ed Harrison, LCP; Arun Vijay, Deloitte; Laura Hobern, LCP.

Sessional Meeting - Asset Liability Modelling in the Quantum Era
The paper “Asset liability modelling in the quantum era” shall be presented by its authors, Tim Berry and James Sharpe, and chaired by Andrew Smith, Assistant Professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at University College Dublin. This gives a summary of historical and current practices in ALM, and then gives an insight into what ALM may be like in the immediate future by demonstrating how quantum computers can be used for ALM. A quantum algorithm for optimising ALM calculations is presented and tested using a quantum computer.

Speakers : Tim Berry and James Sharpe

Sessional Meeting - Long term stochastic risk models: The 6th generation of modern actuarial models?
This paper explores the use of long-term stochastic modelling for risk management. Life insurance is a long-term business and carries with it long-term risks, yet a lot of current actuarial risk management is focused on short-term modelling approaches. The paper discusses the limitations inherent within existing approaches and considers how the focus of the next generation of actuarial models may be on long-term stochastic models. The paper also explores how existing techniques, together with new approaches, can be used to develop such models and the benefits of these.
Sessional Meeting - A Value-at-Risk Approach to Mis-Estimation Risk
Mis-estimation risk is a key element of demographic risk, and past work has focused on mis-estimation risk on a run-off basis. However, this does not meet the requirements of regulatory regimes like Solvency II, which demands that capital requirements are set through the prism of a finite horizon like one year. This paper presents a value-at-risk approach to mis-estimation risk suitable for Solvency II work. Speaker: Stephen Richards

Sessional Roundtable: The Importance of Biodiversity Risks for Actuaries

Actuaries have a lot to offer biodiversity management over the next decade as the world develops more depth to its response to this global challenge. This sessional offers an opportunity to learn about this emergent risk, to contribute to our thinking as a profession and help us develop the next steps forward. It is beyond doubt that Biodiversity is being lost at an unprecedented rate (a mass extinction). The economic or financial impact of this loss is unknown. An increasing amount of work focusses on how business and government decision making can account for biodiversity through concepts such as natural capital valuation. This is an important topic on which there has been little actuarial discussion to date. Following the development of an initial position paper, four papers have been written by the Biodiversity Working Party of the IFoA on a range of biodiversity topics that are important to actuarial practice: 1. Natural Capital has been championed by the UK Government and various business groups, however, it has also been seen as controversial within some non-governmental organisations. 2. Quantified metrics, such as monetisation, to assess impacts on, and the benefits of, biodiversity is the subject of the second paper where we summarise a number of metrics that may be of use to actuaries. 3. Zoonotic pathogens, where the recent Dasgupta Review suggests that due to biodiversity loss increasing contact between people and wildlife which ultimately leads to spill-over infections where pathogens are transmitted from animals to human hosts. COVID-19 has emphasised the significant risk to finance and the global economy that zoonotic pathogens can represent. 4. Justice within the context of biodiversity is of increasing focus globally. Stakeholders such as shareholders, policyholders, sponsors, scheme members, local and indigenous communities, intergenerational fairness, as well as nature itself, need to be considered in any evaluation. The concepts developed through actuarial fairness may support an understanding of justice.

Sessional Research – To the end game and beyond

11 January 2021

2020
Sessional Research - Money, Knowledge and Power
14 September 2020
Sessional Event: Resource and Environment Sessional - Climate Scenario Analysis
1 June 2020
Sessional Event: Actuarial valuations to monitor defined benefit pension funding
9 March 2020
Sessional Event: Impact of E-cigarettes Working Party
24 February 2020 
Sessional Event: Understanding Blockchain for Insurance Use Cases
3 February 2020 
Sessional Event: Operational Risk Dependencies
20 January 2020 
2019
Sessional Event: Silent Cyber Assessment Framework
9 December 2019 (Length 1:12:59)
Sessional Event: Your Actuarial Career - Managing Career Breaks
5 December 2019 (Length 1:28:13)
Sessional Event: Practical guides to Climate Change for insurance practitioners
18 November 2019 (Length 1:29:26)
Sessional Event: Autonomous Vehicles and impacts on the wider insurance industry
29 October 2019 (Length 1:38:00)
Sessional Event: A review of Risk Margin - Solvency II and beyond
9 September 2019 (Length 1:23:52)
Sessional Event: Why the Pensions Dashboard is more than a data collection exercise
Monday 24 June 2019 (Length 01:20:12)
Sessional Event: Climate Change Risk Reporting Practices by UK Insurance Firms and Pensions Schemes
Monday 17 June 2019 (Length 01:23:45)
Sessional Event: Saving for Retirement - Rules of Thumb
Monday 20 May 2019 (Length 01:23:14)
Sessional Event: Calibration VaR models with Overlapping Data
Monday 25 March 2019 (Length 01:08:01)
Sessional Event: Investment Risk for long term investors
Monday 18 March 2019 (Length 01:28:47)
Sessional Event: Antibiotic Resistance Working Party
Monday 25 February 2019 (Length 01:17:40)
Sessional Event: The Genomic Underpinnings of Human Lifespan: Biology, Diseases and Prediction
Monday 21 January 2019 (Length 01:22:03)
 
2018
Sessional Research Event: Equity Release Mortgages (ERM)
Tuesday 11 December 2018 (Length 01:29:11)
Sessional Meeting: Allowing for climate-related risks when setting long-term financial assumptions
Monday 26 November 2018 (Length 01:22:20)
Autumn Lecture London 2018 In investment: How do we define long term?
Wednesday 7 November 2018 (Length 01:30:35)
Sessional Research Event: Improving the Success of InsurTech Opportunities
Monday 22 October 2018 (Length 01:12:56)
Sessional Research Event : Cyber Operational Risk Scenarios for Insurance Companies
Monday 15 October 2018 (Length 01:12:30)
Sessional Research Event: Hot topics in Health and Care
Monday 17 September 2018 (Length 01:53:05)
Sessional Research Event: How Medical Advances and Health Interventions Will Shape Future Longevity
Monday 25 June 2018 (Length 01:25:05)
Sessional Research Event : Wearable Technology and Antibiotic Resistance Working Parties
Monday 18 June 2018 (Length 01:54:35)
Sessional Research Event: Actuarial Methods: Are we Serving the Public Interest?
Monday 21 May 2018 (Length 01:25:37)
Sessional Research Event:Self-selection and Risk Sharing in a Modern World of Life-Long Annuities
Monday 14 May 2018 (Length 01:16:21)

Spring Lecture 2018: The Social Progress Index and the Sustainable Development Goals
Monday 23 April (Length 01:15:47)

Sessional Research Event: Life Insurance at the Crossroads
Monday 5 March 2018 (Length 01:57:59)

Sessional Meeting: Addressing the evolution of economic scenario generators, by the Extreme Events Working Party
Monday 26 February 2018 (Length 01:18:12)

Sessional Event: Still Living with Mortality: The Longevity Risk Transfer Market after One Decade
Monday 29 January 2018 (Length 01:25:14)

Sessional Research Event: A Cashless Society - Benefits, Risks and Issues
Monday 22 January 2018 (01:29:57)
2017
Sessional Research Event: Assessing basis risks for Longevity transactions - phase 2
Monday 4 December 2017
Sessional Research Event: Recalculation of the Solvency II transitional measures on technical provisions
Tuesday 28 November 2017
Sessional Research Event: Funding defined benefit pension schemes
Monday 13 November 2017
Sessional Research Event: A review of Solvency II - has it met its objectives?
Monday 11 September 2017
Sessional Research Event: A stochastic implementation of the APCI model for mortality projections
Monday 16 October 2017
Autumn Lecture
Data Science and its Potential for Actuaries

Wednesday 13 September 2017 (Length 01:23:09)
Sessional Research Event: Health and Care Hot Topics?
Thursday 6 July 2017 (Length 01:47:15)
Sessional Research Event: Model Risk: Illuminating the Black Box
Thursday 29 June 2017 (Length 01:21:08)
Sessional Research Event: Do customers understand our life insurance products?
Monday 19 June 2017 (Length 01:22:26)
Sessional Research Event: A review of Solvency II - has it met its objectives?
Monday 8 May 2017 (Length 01:18:56)
Sessional Research Event: How can the IFoA help Individuals make better Retirement Choices?
Monday 24 April 2017 (Length 01:17:22)
Spring Lecture
Antimicrobial resistance: Global threat to health and economy

Thursday 27 April 2017 (Length 01:27:46)
Sessional Research Event: What Data Science Means for the Future of the Actuarial Profession
Monday 3 April 2017 (Length 01:37:30)
Sessional Research Event: IRM – Putting Theory into Practice for UK DB Pension Schemes
Monday 20 March 2017 (Length 01:30:15)
Sessional Event: IFoA-CAS International Reinsurance Pricing Working Party ‘Property Per Risk Pricing
Monday 20 February 2017 (Length 01:43:08)

Sessional Research Event: The Future of Solvency II in the UK: Treasury Select Committee Debrief & Working Party Update
Monday 23 January 2017 (Length 01:39:39)

2016
Sessional Research Event: Sustainable retirement solutions – are there any durable solutions
12 December 2016 (Length 01:29:24)
Autumn Lecture 2016
7 December 2016 (Length 01:18:32)

Sessional Research Event: Ersatz Model Tests
13 October 2016 (Lenght 01:25:14)

Sessional Research Event: Information for Actuaries Valuing Periodical Payment Orders
27 June 2016 (Length 01:26:23)
Sessional Research Event: Simulation Based Capital Models - Testing, Justifying and Communicating Choices
27 June 2016 (Length 01:16:56)
Sessional Research Event: Resource and Environment Sessional Debate
20 June 2016 (Length 01:18:25)
Antibiotic Resistance: An Evolving Threat
24 May 2016 (Length 01:42:28)

Sessional Research Event: Designing successful post-retirement solutions by blending growth, income and protection
23 May 2016 (Length 01:24:07)

Sessional Research Event: Incentives facing UK listed companies to adopt risk reporting requirements of the Revised Code
16 May 2016 (Length 01:26:06)
Sessional Research Event: The Future of Social Care Funding - Who Pays?
18 April 2016 (Length 01:22:28)
Spring Lecture 2016: Communicating Risk and Uncertainty
4 May 2016 (Length 01:36:08)
Sessional Research Event: Operational Risk Working Party
16 March 2016 (Length 01:19:58)
Sessional event: Mis-estimation risk: Measurement and Impact
29 February 2016, video (Length 01:21:54)
Sessional Research Event: Bias, Guess and Expert Judgement in Actuarial Work
18 January 2016, video (Length 01:21:58)
2015

Sessional Research Event: Actuarial Function Working Party
16 November 2015, video (Length 01:10:49)

Autumn Lecture
9 November 2015 (Length 01:25:11)

British Actuarial Journal 20th Anniversary
21 September 2015 (Length 01:24:37)

Spring Thought Leadership Lecture
22 June 2015 (Length 01:31:42)

Sessional Research Event: Expert Judgement
8 June 2015 (Length 01:20:02)

Sessional Research Event: Sustainability and Financial System
11 May 2015 (Length 01:48:36)

Sessional Research Event: Model Risk: daring to open the black box
23 March 2015 (Length 01:27:28)

2014

Sessional Research Event: Extending the Critical Path. A report from the Critical Illness Definitions and Geographical Variations Working Party.
17 February 2014

Sessional Research Event: Financial Repression: What Does it Mean for Savers and Investors?
20 January 2014

Sessional Research Event- working paper: Heavy Models, Light Models and Proxy Models
24 February 2014

Sessional Research Event: Long-Term Care - A Review of Global Funding Models 
17 March 2014

Sessional Research Event: Adverse selection in a start-up long-term care insurance market
22 September 2014

Sessional Research Event: Quantitative approaches to model uncertainty
29 October 2014

Autumn Lecture 2014: The Age of Uncertainty: What do we know about Growing Old?
1 October 2014

Sessional Research Event: The Effect of Model Uncertainty on the Pricing of Critical Illness Insurance
24 November 2014

Sessional Research Event: Longevity Basis Risk Methodology
8 December 2014

2013

Sessional Research Event: Solvency II Technical Provisions for General Insurers
25 November 2013

Mortality Seminar Series: Exploring the future; Defining the Questions
17 June 2013

Sessional Research Event: Extreme Events Working Party Paper
22 April 2013

Sessional Research Event: Unintended Consequences of Basel III and Solvency II
25 March 2013

Sessional Research Event: Triangle-Free Reserving
4 February 2013

Sessional Research Event: Holistic Balance Sheet and Employer Covenant
28 January 2013

Spring Lecture 2013
Autumn Lecture 2013
2012

Sessional Research Event: A Value-at-Risk Framework for Longevity Liabilities 

Sessional Research Working Paper: Long Term Care: A Review of Global Funding Models
22 Oct 2012

The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries Autumn Lecture
8 Oct 2012

Sessional Research Event: Mortality Improvements by Socio-Economic Circumstances in England, 1982-2006
24 Sept 2012

Sessional Research Event: A Review of the Use of Complex Systems Applied to Risk Appetite and Emerging Risks in ERM Practice
17 Sept 2012

2011

Autumn Lecture by Sir Harry Burns
20 October 2011

 

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