The Actuaries Climate Index (ACI) is intended to be a resource for actuaries and others in developing predictive models for potential climate change related losses or opportunities and for risk management strategies

The ACI has been developed by a consortium of North American actuarial bodies - American Academy of Actuaries, the Casualty Actuarial Society, the Canadian Institute of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries. It is intended to serve as a tool to provide information about climate-related extreme events to the insurance industry and the general public. It is based on six key elements:

  • High temperatures
  • Low temperatures
  • High precipitation
  • Drought
  • Strong winds
  • Sea level

Measures of these elements are combined into an index that looks at changes compared to the period from 1961 – 1990. Currently, the ACI covers only North America.

UK/Europe Feasibility Study

The IFoA commissioned a feasibility study to explore whether would be possible to extend the ACI to cover the UK and Europe. The study concluded that an extension would be technically feasible, and that no changes to the formulation of the index would be required; the main challenge would be that of selecting the optimal datasets.

Outputs:

Research commissioned by: The IFoA
Project conduted by:

Charles Curry

Oversight group:

Louise Pryor, Kenneth Donaldson

Status: Ongoing
Commenced: September 2015

 

 

Contact Details

If you want more information about our research programmes please contact the IFoA Actuarial Research Centre:

arc@actuaries.org.uk

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Events calendar

  • CILA 2022

    23 May 2022 - 24 May 2022

    Spaces available

    We continue to live in a world of global uncertainty. Survival depends on our ability to simultaneously navigate through the diverse root-causes, ranging from: the consequences of Climate Change; transitioning to Net Zero; increased inflationary pressures and supply chain issues; to self-imposed changes in regulatory requirements. CILA 2022 focuses on these challenges to ensure we continue to be informed and remain battle ready, as well as showcasing highlights of recent CMI outputs.

  • Spaces available

    In the spirit of fostering the IFoA’s vibrant, global community and enabling our members to participate, we have decided to hold our AGM virtually again this year. This allows for greater accessibility to this important annual event, and for greater accountability of our organisation.

    The Business of the AGM

  • The IFoA Conference 2022

    133 Houndsditch, London EC3A 7BX and Online
    22 June 2022 - 23 June 2022
    Spaces available

    We’re delighted to welcome you back to our first in-person conference since early 2020, also being delivered virtually in our first-ever hybrid event. The theme of our inaugural two-day conference is ‘Focusing on tomorrow’s actuary’ and will explore the contribution actuarial science is making to some of tomorrow’s biggest issues.

     

  • Spaces available

    This webinar will cover:

    • Some background on the risks of misselling in an ESG context, including the DWS case

    • Achieving positive impact is a strong antidote to the risks of greenwashing or ESG misselling, however this risks having a tension with fiduciary responsibilities

    • This tension can be resolved with a concept called Universal Ownership

    • Under Universal ownership, investors have an appetite to make a loss in order to achieve positive impact, and yet still have no compromise on their fiduciary responsibilities

  • Spaces available

    This session will focus on the transformation roadmap of the healthcare sector in KSA and the role of actuarial capabilities in enhancing its evolution to the desired end stage as per the objectives of the Vision 2030. The discussion will focus how the system has evolved so far and shed light on  the expected future changes. Through examining  the transformation, we will highlight how the sector is and can use actuarial  expertise to not only assist with this transformation but also use basic actuarial principles to identify the key risks and their respective mitigation strategies.