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ARC Workshop: Modelling Socio-Economic Differences in English Mortality

Monday 2 December 2019 12:30 - 18:00

Spaces available

The workshop will give participants detailed insights into how a large and detailed dataset can be used to assess levels of mortality inequality in England, using a number of novel statistical methods. We will also address the question: are regional variations in mortality real or imaginary?

Technical Content
The workshop will focus on a large dataset obtained from the UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) and related sources. Data are available at the level of LSOA’s – small geographical areas with, typically, 1000-2000 residents and include death counts, exposures and a significant number of socio-economic variables including the index of multiple deprivation (IMD). The workshop will look at how the socio-economic and other variables can be used to predict high or low mortality relative to national mortality.

The programme will include: an overview of the ONS data; stochastic modelling using IMD deciles; the application of Generalised Linear Models (GLM’s) to model socio-economic differences in mortality; non-linear predictive modelling techniques for socio-economic and geographical variables; using cause-of-death information as an additional outcome to better understand trends and inequalities.

Level of detail
The workshop aims to give participants a good understanding of the underlying statistical methods and their use in the assessment of mortality inequalities using a variety of socio-economic predictive variables.

Target audience
Life, pensions and specialist mortality actuaries; data analysts; actuarial students.

Prior knowledge
A good knowledge of statistics and some knowledge of survival analysis would be beneficial but is not essential.

12.30-12.45 Registration
12.45-13.00 Welcome and introduction
Andrew Cairns
13.00-13.20 What types of socio-economic data are publicly available for mortality data?      
Andrew Cairns
13.20-14.10 Multi-population stochastic mortality models: using the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) deciles to model sub-population mortality
Torsten Kleinow
14.10-14.25 Refreshment break
14.25-15.15 Using Generalised Linear Models (GLM’s) to model the impact of socio-economic effects            
Jie Wen
15.15-16.05 Using local linear regression to model socio-economic and geographical effects
Andrew Cairns
16.05-16.20 Refreshment break
16.20-17.10 Mortality data by socio-economic group, region and cause of death: what do the patterns tell us?
Andrew Cairns
17.10-18.00 Discussion and refreshments




Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ

Nearest Public Transport

Chancery Lane Station

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