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Wednesday 4 May 2016 17:30

We have 15 seats which have now become available to attend this event.  If you wish to attend in person please call 07834175816. The lecture will also be live streamed. To sign up for live streaming please register here.  

After you have registered for live streaming you may find access instructions here. 

The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries’ Spring Lecture will be delivered by Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter – Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, and Professor of Biostatistics, at the University of Cambridge. His background is in medical statistics, particularly the use of Bayesian methods in clinical trials, health technology assessment and drug safety. In his post he leads a small team that attempts to improve the way in which the quantitative aspects of risk and uncertainty are discussed in society.  He works closely with the Millennium Mathematics Project in Cambridge in trying to develop an exciting treatment of probability and risk for mathematics education.

Communicating Risk and Uncertainty

Many official and media communications about risk are framed in a manipulative way in an attempt to influence our beliefs or our behaviour. But if we want to treat people as responsible adults, with their own attitudes of boldness and caution, then a more balanced approach is needed. Information about possible benefits and harms can be uniformly and transparently reported, whether they concern public policies or individual actions. Examples will include experience in drawing up new official public information leaflets for cancer screening in the UK: these were a bold innovation, as they presented the possible upsides and downsides without an explicit recommendation to attend screening.

Event organiser

Contact Events Team for more information.

eventmanagement@actuaries.org.uk

0207 632 1498

Speakers

CPD

CPD
1.50 hours
17:30 – 18:00      Registration
18:00 – 18:15      Introduction by the IFoA President, Fiona Morrison

18:15 – 19:30      Programme

  • 18.05 – 18.25 Part 1
                            Honouring excellence: Finlaison Medal winner
                            Presentation of new Honorary Fellows
  • 18.25 – 19.25 Part 2
                           Lecture: Communicating Risk and Uncertainty
19.25 - 19.30       Closing Remarks
19:30 – 20:00      Drinks Reception

 

Location

Address

British Library – Conference Centre
96 Euston Road
London
NW1 2DB

 

 
 
 
 

 

Nearest Public Transport

By train: St Pancras International, King's Cross and Euston.

By Underground: King's Cross/St Pancras, Euston and Euston Square