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Risk Outlook

The Risk Outlook explains the risk-based approach used by the Regulation Board to identify, prioritise, and where appropriate, publicise risks to the public interest which arise in connection with actuarial activity

The purpose of this approach is three-fold:

  1. to bring relevant risks to the attention of members and our wider stakeholder community
  2. to inform the IFoA’s regulatory strategy and the prioritisation of our regulatory work; and
  3. to contribute to the IFoA’s assessment and management of its own risk.

The Risk Outlook paper, published in December 2016, provides an overview of our extensive 2015/2016 engagement programme with members to analyse areas of risk to the public, as relevant to actuaries and their work.

The Regulation Board reviews, refreshes and updates that analysis routinely.  Included in the various ways in which it addresses the identified risks, it may issue targeted communications, known as "Risk Alerts", from time to time, when appropriate to do so.

Issued Risk Alerts are listed below (please note that these are accurate as at the time of publication and should be read in that context):

Date Title Description
23 November 2017 Risk Alert: Model Manipulation There are a number of risks associated with the use of models. Members must exercise care when using models to ensure that the rationale for selection of a particular model is sound and, in applying that model, it is not inappropriately used solely to provide evidence to support predetermined or preferred outcomes.
12 May 2017 Risk Alert: Climate-related risks Actuaries should ensure that they understand, and are clear in communicating, the extent to which they have taken account of climate-related risks in any relevant decisions, calculations or advice.
4 February 2017 Risk Alert: Change to the discount rate for settling personal injury lump sum awards Members should be aware of the announcement by the Lord Chancellor about concluding the review of the Ogden discount rate and publishing the result. This change will affect most members working in General Insurance.
30 June 2016 Risk Alert: General Insurance Reserving Risk alerts are designed to bring members' attention to topics which arise out of actuarial work which could impact on the public interest.
30 June 2016 Risk Alert: Commutation Factors Risk alerts are designed to bring members' attention to topics which arise out of actuarial work which could impact on the public interest.

Contact Details

If you have any enquiries about our role as a regulator please email

regulation@actuaries.org.uk