The updated version of the Library of Mortality Projections User Guide, version 1.5 documents the contents of the library.
The CMI is no longer updating the library. However, given interest in the National Population Projections, we have requested details of the 2014-based projections from the ONS in the form contained in the library. Corresponding life expectancies are here.
The library of mortality projections is available in a series of zipped spreadsheets
Please note that Volumes 1 to 6 (inclusive) are unchanged from version 1.1 of the library. The additional projections in version 1.2 of the library are all contained in Volume 7.
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 1 contains previously-published tables of projections (see section 3 and 5 of the user guide)
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 2 contains specimen adjusted interim cohort projections (see section 4 of the user guide)
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 3 contains specimen P-Spline age-period projections (see section 6 of the user guide)
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 4 contains specimen P-Spline age-cohort projections (see section 6 of the user guide)
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 5 contains specimen Lee-Carter projections (see section 7 of the user guide)
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 6 contains the additional projections from version 1.1 of the library
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 7 contains the additional projections from version 1.2 of the library
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 8 contains the additional projections from version 1.3 of the library
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 9 contains the additional projections from version 1.4 of the library
- Library of Mortality Projections Volume 10 contains the additional projections from version 1.5 of the library.
Please note that
- Volumes 9 and 10 and versions 1.4 and 1.5 of the user guide are available to Authorised Users only.
- These are large documents and may take some time to download
- Volumes 1 to 9 (inclusive) are unchanged from earlier versions of the library; the additional projections in version 1.5 of the library are all contained in Volume 10.
Version 1.3 of the user guide remains freely available.
Previous versions of the user guide are available on request – please contact email@example.com.
(Note: Version 1.4 is available only to Authorised Users).
If you have any questions about the CMI please email
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This session will focus on the transformation roadmap of the healthcare sector in KSA and the role of actuarial capabilities in enhancing its evolution to the desired end stage as per the objectives of the Vision 2030. The discussion will focus how the system has evolved so far and shed light on the expected future changes. Through examining the transformation, we will highlight how the sector is and can use actuarial expertise to not only assist with this transformation but also use basic actuarial principles to identify the key risks and their respective mitigation strategies.
The purpose of this research paper is to explore enterprise risk management lessons which can be learnt from the Covid-19 pandemic in preparation for potential future pandemics as well as other “gray rhino” or “black swan” events. This paper is not intended to be an all-encompassing solution to the issues presented by Covid-19; rather, the content has been provided to help drive discussions regarding how risk management processes may need to evolve in line with the dynamic nature of the underlying risks that they sometimes need to capture.
This webinar will discuss good exam technique, including various approaches candidates can take in managing their time completing their exams in the online format.
This session is for new candidates and existing candidates where we will be discussing the practical steps you need to take leading up your exam and on the day. We will be discussing how to testing the online exam platform, downloading and uploading your paper and key information from the Exam Handbook.
The exam webinar is for candidates, new to IFoA exams and returning candidates, sitting in the September 2022 exam session.
The role of Non-Executive Directors has become increasingly challenging and critical over the past few years.
Big picture thinking, Governance knowledge, Independent mindset, Ambassador potential and Energy and commitment: these are the essential skills sought in a successful NED, according to the Chartered Governance Institute (UK & Ireland).
In parallel, Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) criteria are increasingly key and used by investors to measure the sustainability and ethical impact of investing in an organisation.
This webinar will cover:
• Some background on the risks of misselling in an ESG context, including the DWS case
• Achieving positive impact is a strong antidote to the risks of greenwashing or ESG misselling, however this risks having a tension with fiduciary responsibilities
• This tension can be resolved with a concept called Universal Ownership
• Under Universal ownership, investors have an appetite to make a loss in order to achieve positive impact, and yet still have no compromise on their fiduciary responsibilities
In the UK, the idea of collective defined contribution (CDC) pension schemes is gaining more attention with the launch of the Royal Mail CDC scheme, the first of its kind in the UK. Our recent research on CDC plans investigates the sources of the putative benefits of CDC schemes: the smoothing of pensions for members. Using an attribution analysis to burrow into the scheme design, the reason for the smoothing of members' pensions is explained and understood.
The IFoA's Infrastructure Working Party, led by Chris Lewin, will present its new introductory guide to infrastructure investment, which will be published on the IFoA web-site prior to the webinar. Those readers whose institutions have already taken the plunge into infrastructure will know that it is a highly complex and diverse field of activity. This guide does not explore all the matters which investors take into account, but it does discuss many of the more important points, including the risks and past returns, benchmarking, and ESG and SDG considerations. Attendees will be invi
Social care reform has long been on the to-do list for successive governments over the last two decades. In February, the government’s proposed reforms to adult social care [including cap on care costs] was published. Against this backdrop of funding promise and rising National Insurance taxation, in this session we will debate the resilience of these new proposals, the impact of future demand for care services and what role for the insurance industry and the important role it has played in long-term care funding in other countries where public-private partnership works.
Health contributes to happiness at the personal, family, community and societal level. Health, importantly underpins all our economic security. This talk will explore the drivers of our health, the measurement of health and the steps we can take to improve health – most of which lie outside the NHS.
We are delighted to announce the return of GIRO as an in-person conference, giving you an opportunity to connect with actuaries in your practice area. Join leading experts to discuss key issues, emerging ideas, and new research across the General Insurance sector.
Life Conference returns as an in-person conference in 2022, giving you an opportunity to connect with your peers and fellow actuaries in your sector, in person. You will also hear leading experts discuss key issues, emerging ideas, and new research across the Life insurance sector.
Mortality and morbidity risk varies by variables such as age, sex and smoking. In traditional actuarial experience analysis, these variables, and certain combinations thereof can be explored. However, with the wealth of data now available it is becoming increasingly challenging to identify the key drivers of experience and account for the interaction between different variables. A univariate approach often compares apples and pears, for example males are more likely to smoke and have larger policies than females. Likewise, variable interactions are missed unless specifically included.