Note: More recent versions of the CMI Mortality Projections Model have subsequently been released. View the full list of model versions
The version of CMI_2015 Model published on 28 September 2015 contained an invalid default value for the user input in cell G21 on the ‘Inputs’ tab. This has no effect if the ‘Core’ parameter level is selected for the ‘Initial Rates of Mortality Improvement’ and will cause error messages to be generated if the ‘Advanced’ parameter level is selected.
The version of the model released on 7 October 2015 contains the appropriate default value. Alternatively, the original version of the model can be used provided cell G21 on the Inputs tab is amended to 01/01/2012 (not 01/01/2011).
CMI Working paper 84 accompanies the updated version of the CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2015, and is issued alongside the Model and an updated User Guide.
The structure of CMI_2015 is identical to that of the previous versions; however the default parameters contained in the Model have been updated to reflect England & Wales population mortality data for calendar year 2014, and for the first seven months of 2015.
The default Initial Rates of Mortality Improvement in CMI_2015 are lower than those published in CMI_2014 for almost all ages for both males and females. This means that Core Projections generated by CMI_2015 produce lower expectations of life than those produced by CMI_2014 (with other parameters held constant) for all ages for both males and females.
CMI Working Paper 83 analyses recent mortality in England & Wales and provides background for the calibration of CMI_2015.
Documents
- CMI Working Paper 84
- User guide accompanying CMI_2015
- The updated Model, CMI_2015 (Reissued on 07/10/2015 with cell G21 on the Inputs tab amended to an appropriate default value – affects the Advanced Parameters version only)
- Age-period-cohort model - males
- Age-period-cohort model - females
- Exposure and deaths dataset used in the preparation of CMI_2015 (Reissued on 06/10/2015 to incorporate additional data and minor formatting updates)
- Estimates of exposure at age 90+
Contact Details
If you have any questions about the CMI please email
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Events calendar
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Asia Conference Webinar Series
Webinars7 September 2020 - 25 September 2020
There will be a prestigious line-up of international speakers discussing the insurance and financial industry’s innovation and change in Asia. The conference will take place throughout September via an online platform. The webinars consist of plenary speaking sessions and a series of workshop sessions including Life, GI, Data Science, Sustainability, Risk Management and Investment.This will be the perfect opportunity for you to discover,ask questions and be at the forefront of current and developing actuarial/financial topics and trends in Asia.
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Personal and Professional Lifelong Learning – Supporting CPD Co-ordinators and Others
Webinar23 September 2020
This free 90 minute webinar is designed to support the IFoA CPD Co-ordinators, and others, involved in supporting our members to achieve their CPD requirements. The programme will include an overview of the new CPD Scheme; specifically sharing with you key messages to support you implement and embrace the new CPD Scheme for our members within your organisation and regional community; how to arrange a reflective practice discussion; and an interactive reflective practice discussion learning exercise. In addition, delegates will gain information about accessing, and making the most of the IFoA event Toolkits which you can make use of to run your own in-house events and events for regional communities.
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Asia Conference Webinar: Actuary’s Impact through Lifestyle Products
Webinar23 September 202012.00-13.00 GMT+8
“Lifestyle Product” being the key to make insurance a daily necessity rather than a luxury, by having high engagement and interaction with the consumers through:
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Asia Conference Webinar: The Role of Data Science in Customer-centric Insurance
Webinar23 September 202016.00-17.00 GMT+8
Consumer expectations are changing Insurance. The Royal Commission in Australia, Design Obligations in the UK, the insurtech ecosystem, and digital-first consumers demanding personalised solutions will all revolutionise how insurance looks like in the future.
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Asia Conference Webinar: Ageing/Mortality Panel Session
Webinar24 September 202012.00-13.00 GMT+8
This presenter / panel workshop hybrid will be anchored by two presentations examining the socioeconomic, medical and technological factors that will have a significant impact on mortality and our pricing over the next 20 years and beyond. It will also discuss whether significant mortality improvement will continue in Asia or whether varying experience of low improvements or deterioration.
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Asia Conference Webinar: Liability Aware Investment Solutions
Webinar24 September 202016.00-17.00 (GMT+8) | 09.00-10.00 (BST)
This presentation explores some liability-aware investment solutions to address local regulatory changes faced by insurance companies in Asia.
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Asia Conference:The C-Ross Phase II and its Potential Impact on Chinese Market
Webinar25 September 202012.00-13.00 GMT+8
This presentation aims to provides an overview of the reformation of current Chinese regulatory solvency regime, how industry coping with the new normal after pandemic time and how the reformation of the regulation could help the insurance industry gets back on its feet as well as coming back to the “protection” core value for the policyholders. The presentation would include:
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Asia Conference:Changes of China’s 2nd set Standardized CI definitions and Mortality Table
Webinar25 September 202016.00-17.00 (GMT+8) | 09.00-10.00 (BST)
The basic data of China’s 2nd Critical Illness Mortality Table covers 2000+ products in Chinese market, including about 340 million insurance policies and 5.1 million claimants. Presenter will give the audience a general understanding including but not limited to the following contents:
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F&I Webinar: Disrupting the investment management industry using AI
Webinar30 September 2020
What are the advantages of using artificial intelligence (AI) in investing? What are the differences between traditional quant and AI? This new webinar discusses challenges and the future of AI in the investment sector.
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Sessional Event: The IFRS 17 Contractual Service Margin: A Life Insurance Perspective
Webinar5 October 2020
Delivered by the IFRS 17 Contractual Service Margin working party. -
Why Certified Actuarial Analysts add value to employers, including both insurers and consultancies
Webinar6 October 2020The Certified Actuarial Analyst (CAA) qualification has rapidly established itself as adding real value, to insurers and consultancies, and to the clients of consultancies, around the World. CAAs work alongside actuaries and actuarial students, as well as other financial services professionals, in an increasingly broad range of roles and fields. -
Why Certified Actuarial Analysts add value to employers
Webinar6 October 2020This session is a repeat of the one earlier today at 09:30 -
Autumn Lecture 2020: Professor Elroy Dimson
Online webinar14 October 2020
Many individuals and institutions have a long-term focus, and invest funds for the benefit of future generations. Their strategy should reflect their long horizon. University endowments are one of the oldest classes of institutional investor, and I will present the first study of the management of these endowments over the very long term. -
GIRO Conference 2020 Webinar Series
Available to watch globally in November.02-13 November 2020
This year's GIRO has been re-designed as a virtual conference to offer members and non-members the opportunity to get up to date content from leading experts in the general insurance field via online webinars. All sessions will be recorded and made available to purchase and re-watch post-event on the IFoA's GI Online Learning Resource area.
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Autumn Pensions Webinar: Cash is King - What next for CDI?
Webinar4 December 2020
Cash-flow driven investing is a game-changer for DB pension funds navigating their end-game. Suitable for sponsors who want to reduce risks on their balance sheets. And for trustees, it shifts the focus to providing greater certainty of returns, managing funding level volatility and ensuring they have enough income to pay cash-flow requirements. -
Autumn Pensions Webinar: Impact of Dividends
Webinar8 December 2020The talk will provide an understanding of the priorities and relationships between deficit reduction contributions, in the context of wider scheme funding, and different types of value outflow from the employer based on the working party’s recently published report.
There will be a prestigious line-up of international speakers discussing the insurance and financial industry’s innovation and change in Asia. The conference will take place throughout September via an online platform. The webinars consist of plenary speaking sessions and a series of workshop sessions including Life, GI, Data Science, Sustainability, Risk Management and Investment.
This free 90 minute webinar is designed to support the IFoA CPD Co-ordinators, and others, involved in supporting our members to achieve their CPD requirements. 
Delivered by the IFRS 17 Contractual Service Margin working party.
Many individuals and institutions have a long-term focus, and invest funds for the benefit of future generations. Their strategy should reflect their long horizon. University endowments are one of the oldest classes of institutional investor, and I will present the first study of the management of these endowments over the very long term.
Cash-flow driven investing is a game-changer for DB pension funds navigating their end-game. Suitable for sponsors who want to reduce risks on their balance sheets. And for trustees, it shifts the focus to providing greater certainty of returns, managing funding level volatility and ensuring they have enough income to pay cash-flow requirements.