The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2015

Note: More recent versions of the CMI Mortality Projections Model have subsequently been released. View the full list of model versions

The version of CMI_2015 Model published on 28 September 2015 contained an invalid default value for the user input in cell G21 on the ‘Inputs’ tab. This has no effect if the ‘Core’ parameter level is selected for the ‘Initial Rates of Mortality Improvement’ and will cause error messages to be generated if the ‘Advanced’ parameter level is selected.

The version of the model released on 7 October 2015 contains the appropriate default value. Alternatively, the original version of the model can be used provided cell G21 on the Inputs tab is amended to 01/01/2012 (not 01/01/2011).

CMI Working paper 84 accompanies the updated version of the CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2015, and is issued alongside the Model and an updated User Guide.

The structure of CMI_2015 is identical to that of the previous versions; however the default parameters contained in the Model have been updated to reflect England & Wales population mortality data for calendar year 2014, and for the first seven months of 2015.

The default Initial Rates of Mortality Improvement in CMI_2015 are lower than those published in CMI_2014 for almost all ages for both males and females. This means that Core Projections generated by CMI_2015 produce lower expectations of life than those produced by CMI_2014 (with other parameters held constant) for all ages for both males and females.

CMI Working Paper 83 analyses recent mortality in England & Wales and provides background for the calibration of CMI_2015.

Documents

Contact Details

If you have any questions about the CMI please email

info@cmilimited.co.uk

Filter or search events

Start date
E.g., 16/06/2022
End date
E.g., 16/06/2022

Events calendar

  • Spaces available

    We’ve all heard about the gender pay gap. Sadly, the gap doesn’t just exist with base pay.

    Research carried out by Legal & General in 2021 across the four million members in our Defined Contribution (DC) pensions, found that there’s a gender pension gap too, continuing the divide between men and women.

  • Spaces available

    As current global events continue to demonstrate, geopolitical tensions present significant risks to corporates of all sizes. However, these types of risk are often not given the discussion time it needs at the board level or executive committee levels, nor the resources required to anticipate, analyse and mitigate them effectively.

  • Spaces available

    At retirement, it has become very popular for those with Defined Contribution (DC) pensions to choose drawdown rather than an annuity, but drawing a sustainable lifetime income in this way is an impossible challenge for most people. We consider a Decumulation Pathway for the typical consumer, where a small part of the DC fund is set aside for any flexible access and legacy requirements. The bulk is then used to provide a lifetime income, utilising the pooling or insuring of longevity risk.

  • CILA 2022

    23 May 2022 - 24 May 2022

    Spaces available

    We continue to live in a world of global uncertainty. Survival depends on our ability to simultaneously navigate through the diverse root-causes, ranging from: the consequences of Climate Change; transitioning to Net Zero; increased inflationary pressures and supply chain issues; to self-imposed changes in regulatory requirements. CILA 2022 focuses on these challenges to ensure we continue to be informed and remain battle ready, as well as showcasing highlights of recent CMI outputs.

  • Spaces available

    In the spirit of fostering the IFoA’s vibrant, global community and enabling our members to participate, we have decided to hold our AGM virtually again this year. This allows for greater accessibility to this important annual event, and for greater accountability of our organisation.

    The Business of the AGM

  • The IFoA Conference 2022

    133 Liverpool St, London EC3A 7BX and Online
    22 June 2022 - 23 June 2022
    Spaces available

    We’re delighted to welcome you back to our first in-person conference since early 2020, also being delivered virtually in our first-ever hybrid event. The theme of our inaugural two-day conference is ‘Focusing on tomorrow’s actuary’ and will explore the contribution actuarial science is making to some of tomorrow’s biggest issues.