Working Paper 139: Considerations relating to COVID-19 for mortality and morbidity assumptions

Working Paper 139 has been written by the COVID-19 Working Party, established in July 2020 to investigate the implications of COVID-19 on the CMI and to propose a consistent methodology that could be adopted by the CMI investigation committees.

The paper reports on:

  • Population level mortality data against which 2020 experience can be benchmarked.
  • Impact of the pandemic on population mortality in 2020.
  • Adjustment methods for abnormal years of mortality or morbidity data.
  • Considerations for setting mortality and morbidity assumptions.
  • The impact on estimating uncertainty of mortality assumptions.

We ask several consultation questions, for which the deadline for providing a response is 1 November 2020.


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