Results of the CMI_2020 consultation

The CMI typically releases an updated version of the CMI Mortality Projections Model each year and we expect to release the next version, CMI_2020, by the end of March 2021.

We proposed two changes in method for the CMI_2020 version of the Model, in Working Paper 137, published in September 2020, and sought feedback from Authorised Users.

Working Paper 143 summarises the responses to the consultation and describes our plans for CMI_2020:

  • Weighting mortality data for 2020: Following broad support from respondents to the consultation, we will modify the calibration process for CMI_2020 so that users could choose to place more or less weight on data for individual years. In particular the Core version of CMI_2020 will use a weight of 0% for 2020 data, and weights of 100% for all other years.
     
  • Change to calibration age range: Many respondents agreed with our proposal to change the calibration age range to 20-90, based on the supporting analysis in Working Paper 137. However a number of respondents noted that the analysis was sensitive to the period of data considered, and alternative analyses would justify retaining the existing approach. In light of these responses, and our further analysis, we will calibrate CMI_2020 to data for ages 20 to 100 inclusive, as in CMI_2019.

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  • Asia Conference 2021 webinar series

    Online webinar series
    26 July 2021 - 30 July 2021
    Spaces available

    We have made it through 2020 but the COVID-19 crisis continues to have a significant impact on individuals, societies, businesses and the wider economy across the globe. Navigating the world post COVID-19 in an uncertain and highly unstable time brings along many uncertainties, challenges and exciting opportunities. Hence the theme of this year’s IFoA Asia Conference Webinar Series is “Risk. Adapt. Thrive.”

  • CMI Income Protection

    30 July 2021

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    In April 2021, the CMI Income Protection Committee published Working Paper 149, which detailed the changes to analysis methodology for the Income Protection Investigation and the impact of past data issues. This webinar will provide an overview of the changes in the analysis approach and discuss the adjustments to the IP11 claim inceptions graduations.

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    Louise Pryor, IFoA President, will chair this free-to-view session, in which Alex Darsley, TPR, Actuarial Regulatory Policy, will be discussing the regulator’s Climate Change Guidance Consultation, which is seeking views on new guidance designed to help trustees meet tougher standards of governance in relation to climate change ri

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    Risk Management Webinar ProgrammeInternal audit is often the Cinderella of the audit world. It’s a regulatory requirement for insurance companies to have an internal audit function, so why not make it as useful as possible?  This session will look at how to link an internal audit plan to the risk register, and how that helps audit committees and boards to spot problems and fix them.

  • Spaces available

    Climate change is one of the greatest risks facing our world today. Addressing it will require multi-faceted solutions. Through this panel session, we will explore the different levers that can be used to meet net-zero targets including climate science and data, government engagement, and mobilising green finance.