Working Paper 107: Proposed “S3” Series mortality tables.

Note: This working paper uses data for a public sector pension scheme in 2012-2016 which is now known to be incorrect. We have not updated the working paper, but we have prepared a note that describes the nature of the incorrect data and the impact on CMI analyses so that Subscribers can consider whether to take any action.

CMI Working Paper 107 was published in June 2018. The working paper contains a consultation on the proposed “S3” graduations of the CMI SAPS mortality experience for the period 2009 to 2016 based on data collected by 30 June 2017. Consultation responses should be sent to self-admin@cmilimited.co.uk by 14 September 2018.

The proposed mortality tables were issued for consultation; the final tables were issued alongside Working Paper 113.

Download the proposed “S3” Series mortality tables.

Other outputs

The data underlying the graduations is available to download as a separate zip file. This excludes some data due to certain restrictions under the CMI Data Handling Protocols.

  • “CMI WP107 S3 raw dataset v02 2022-06-20.xlsx” contains deaths and exposures data.
  • “CMI WP107 S3 adjusted dataset v02 2022-06-20.xlsx” contains the same data, but after adjustments have been made (as described in Appendices 2 and 3 of Working Paper 107).

In March 2015 the CMI released “CMI Graduation software v0.2 (beta)” which accompanied Working Paper 77. We have used a modified version of this software to produce the proposed “S3” graduations. The software can be used to replicate the proposed “S3” mortality rates (apart from datasets for which the data has been excluded) or to test alternative methods.

Filter or search events

Start date
E.g., 04/07/2022
End date
E.g., 04/07/2022

Events calendar

  • Spaces available

    The Actuaries’ Carbon Collaboration (ACC) is a group of actuaries and other professionals working towards a coherent understanding of the issues around greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by considering them in an actuarial context.

    Emissions into and absorption from the atmosphere can be modelled in the same way that we model variable cash flows, including the impacts of uncertain quantities and timing. The ACC’s work investigates both the insights that this analogy provides and its limitations.

  • Spaces available

    This talk presents the work of the Data and Modelling workstream of the IFoA Mental Health Working Party. We explore data and modelling considerations in the risk assessment and underwriting of mental health conditions. We will also consider how newer risk factors and improved data availability might open up opportunities for additional underwriting and product designs.

  • Pensions Dashboards

    12 July 2022

    Spaces available

    As the industry prepares for Pensions Dashboards, we have lined up a specialist panel who is at the heart of the ongoing work in this area. Hear the latest developments, future proposals and have the opportunity to put forward your questions to our speakers.

  • Spaces available

    Crisis management, the process by which an organization deals with a disruptive, sudden and unexpected event that threatens to harm the organization or its stakeholders, has become a key concern in the light of the Pandemic and Geopolitical risks.

  • Spaces available

    Artificial Intelligence is heralded as a game-changer to the ways industries use data, with the insurance industry especially looking to embrace these new technologies. This brings many questions – not least around data privacy, ethics, potential biases and so on – with regulators increasingly interested in developments.

    Moreover, whilst the stunning progress of specific technologies such as Watson and Alphazero made headlines some years ago, current commercial applications of AI remain far from mature.

  • Spaces available

    This webinar will cover:

    • Some background on the risks of misselling in an ESG context, including the DWS case

    • Achieving positive impact is a strong antidote to the risks of greenwashing or ESG misselling, however this risks having a tension with fiduciary responsibilities

    • This tension can be resolved with a concept called Universal Ownership

    • Under Universal ownership, investors have an appetite to make a loss in order to achieve positive impact, and yet still have no compromise on their fiduciary responsibilities

  • Spaces available

    This session will focus on the transformation roadmap of the healthcare sector in KSA and the role of actuarial capabilities in enhancing its evolution to the desired end stage as per the objectives of the Vision 2030. The discussion will focus how the system has evolved so far and shed light on  the expected future changes. Through examining  the transformation, we will highlight how the sector is and can use actuarial  expertise to not only assist with this transformation but also use basic actuarial principles to identify the key risks and their respective mitigation strategies.

  • Spaces available

    The purpose of this research paper is to explore enterprise risk management lessons which can be learnt from the Covid-19 pandemic in preparation for potential future pandemics as well as other “gray rhino” or “black swan” events. This paper is not intended to be an all-encompassing solution to the issues presented by Covid-19; rather, the content has been provided to help drive discussions regarding how risk management processes may need to evolve in line with the dynamic nature of the underlying risks that they sometimes need to capture.

  • Spaces available

    The IFoA's Infrastructure Working Party, led by Chris Lewin, will present its new introductory guide to infrastructure investment, which will be published on the IFoA web-site prior to the webinar.   Those readers whose institutions have already taken the plunge into infrastructure will know that it is a highly complex and diverse field of activity.   This guide does not explore all the matters which investors take into account, but it does discuss many of the more important points, including the risks and past returns, benchmarking, and ESG and SDG considerations.    Attendees will be invi

  • Spaces available

    Health contributes to happiness at the personal, family, community and societal level.  Health, importantly underpins all our economic security. This talk will explore the drivers of our health, the measurement of health and the steps we can take to improve health – most of which lie outside the NHS.