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Modelling and statistics

Videos and audio files of selected webinars and events on modelling and statistics

 

IFoA members – Please login to the IFoA's Virtual Learning Environment (VLE) and watch the recordings there. You can also access specific recordings by clicking on the individual titles below.

If you are not a member please contact vle.admin@actuaries.org.uk to process your order.

2020

29 July 2020

Are we in the Era of Actuarial Data Science Modelling?

Join us for an exploration session on the use of data science in insurance companies today with examples how insurers are making sense of and using new data sources and technologies, exploration of practical applications of data science within actuarial work, the benefits of data-driven decisions to solve business problems using the power of data and technology, and the role that actuaries can play to harness the benefits of data science. 

27 July 2020

Modelling Dangers – What to look out for in Terms of Poor Model Selection and Calibration

As insurers look towards their internal model calibration process for 2020 final year financials and statutory returns, actuaries need to deal with the complexity of adequately modelling their business in 2020 and beyond. This discussion will look at what poor model selection and calibration could look like – using inappropriate historical data; using incorrect 2020 mortality data; inappropriate stochastic model recalibration (or lack thereof). What about being prudent vs setting a best estimate? How do you allow for tail risks during a tail risk event?  

23 July 2020

Towards Precision Insurance: dynamic hazards modelling in Big Data

In this talk, Elena demonstrates how the landmark survival modelling of electronic health records (EHR) can be used for dynamic prediction of individual and population life expectancy. 

Speaker: Elena Kulinskaya, University of East Anglia

28 April 2020

Current Issues in Personal Injury Modelling

The Ogden Discount Rate shock of 2017 brought about a period of profound uncertainty to General Insurance market.  GI Actuaries' first task was to estimate the impact of the Ogden shocks, particularly to reserving and reinsurance pricing.  Their second was to navigate a period of framework uncertainty, maintaining an agility in actuarial modelling as the Civil Liability Bill took shape. 

Speaker: Justin Thomas, Guy Carpenter

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Events calendar

  • The Growth Mindset for Actuaries

    13 October 2021 - 8 December 2021

    Spaces available

    This practical course is aimed at actuaries at any stage of their career who want to develop their own growth mindset and apply it to their work setting and personal or professional lifelong learning. The content of the course builds on the lecture given by Dr Helen Wright on Growth Mindset as part of the President’s 2021 Lecture series, and will be delivered over a period of 2 months, from mid-October to early December.

  • Spaces available

    In this webinar, we will discuss how cause-of-death data from the Office for National Statistics can help us to understand how inequalities arise at the all-cause level. The key to understanding mortality inequality is to think about the chain that connects risk factors, relative risks, and cause-of-death mortality through to all-cause mortality.

  • Spaces available

    The importance of biodiversity for finance, business and policy is being increasingly recognised. While many studies highlight the overall economic impact that biodiversity loss could have, it is much more difficult to quantify and understand the particular impact that is may have on individual businesses or communities. The management and measurement of these risks is a field where actuaries are well placed to contribute.

  • Spaces available

    The climate crisis and the degradation of our planet will affect societies everywhere. How we address these threats will require solutions that transcend borders. As a global profession, the actuarial community is well-placed to consider and propose effective risk management solutions to help manage the climate crisis.

  • GIRO 2021 Webinar Series

    Online
    8 November 2021 - 19 November 2021
    Spaces available

    Join leading experts to discuss key issues, emerging ideas and new research across the general insurance sector.

  • Spaces available

    Content will be aimed at all actuaries looking to understand the issues surrounding mental health in insurance and in particular those looking to ensure products and processes widen access for, and are most useful to, those experiencing periods of poor mental health.