An overview of publications, presentations and press articles relating to this research programme

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Title

Type of output

Date Authors
Documentation of mylongevity Documentation Oct 2021 Bakbergenuly, I., Kulinskaya, E.,
International Conference on Actuarial Science. Survival analysis after a first ischaemic stroke event: a case-control study in the adult population of England Presentation Sept 2021 Chutoo, P., Kulinskaya, E., Bakbergenuly, I., Steel, N., Pchejetski, D.
Family Medicine and Community Health Blog. Do statins reduce mortality in older people? Findings from a longitudinal study using primary care records Publication June 2021 Gitsels, L. A., Kulinskaya, E.
Actuarial teachers and researchers conference 2021, University College Dublin. Survival Analysis of Big Health Data in Actuarial Research Presentation June 2021 Kulinskaya, E.
Actuarial teachers and researchers conference 2021, University College Dublin. On the Survival of Diabetes Type II individuals in the UK Presentation June 2021 Ncube, N.
Actuarial teachers and researchers conference 2021, University College Dublin. Hormone Replacement Therapy and its long-term impact on the survival of women in the United Kingdom Presentation June 2021 Akter, N.
Actuarial teachers and researchers conference 2021, University College Dublin. Survival after Transient Ischaemic Attack in England : A retrospective analysis Presentation June 2021 Chutoo, P.
Family Medicine and Community Health Journal. Do statins reduce mortality in older people? Findings from a longitudinal study using primary care records Publication May 2021 Gitsels, L. A., Bakbergenuly, I., Steel N. and Kulinskaya, E.
SyncNorwich. MyLongevity Startup Pitch Presentation Dec 2020 Kulinskaya, E., Bakergenuly, I., Oastler, G., Gitsels, L.A.
IME. Dynamic hazards modelling for predictive longevity risk assessment Publication Nov 2020 Kulinskaya, E., Gitsels, L.A., Bakergenuly, I., Wright, N.R.
IME. Calculation of changes in life expectancy based on proportional hazards model of an intervention Publication Apr 2020 Kulinskaya, E., Gitsels, L.A., Bakergenuly, I., Wright, N.R.
MyLongevity App  App  Oct 2020 Kulinskaya, E., Bakergenuly, I.

The University of East Anglia – Post Graduate Research – Poster day Ischaemic stroke

Poster Oct 2020
Chutoo, P.,
Kulinskaya, E.,
Steel, N.,
Bakbergenuly, I.,
Pshezhetskiy, D.

The University of East Anglia – Post Graduate Research – Poster day Diabetic Mellitus II

Poster Oct 2020
Ncube, N.,
Kulinskaya, E. 

The University of East Anglia – Post Graduate Research – Poster day Hormone Replacement Therapy - poster/abstract

Poster/Abstract Oct 2020
Akter, N.,
Kulinskaya, E.,
Steel, N. 
Mortality & Longevity Webinar Series Towards Precision Insurance: dynamic hazards modelling in Big Data  Presentation July 2020 Kulinskaya, E.
A Fine Scale - The Actuary magazine  Article  May 2020
Kulinskaya, E., Bakergenuly, I., Gitsels, L.A
Online International Conference in Actuarial science, data science and finance (OICA) Presentation April 2020
Akter, N.,
Bakbergenuly, I.,
Steel, N.,
Kulinskaya, E.

Technical Workshop: Beyond Proportional Hazards 

 
 
Presentation - slides
Code 
Data set
Oct 2019 Big Health & Actuarial Data Research Team
Royal Statistical Society conference. Landmark analyses of survival benefit of associated with statin prescription   Presentation Sept 2019 Bakbergenuly, I.
Insurance Data Science Conference. Use of administrative health databases for modelling longevity improvement   Presentation June 2019 Kulinskaya, E., Bakbergenuly, I., Gitsels, L. A
Journal of Hypertension. Optimal systolic blood pressure targets in routine clinical care  Publication April 2019 Gitsels, L.A., Kulinskaya, E., Bakergenuly, I., Steel, N.
Abstract of IFoA sessional. How medical advances and health interventions will shape future longevity Publication Mar 2019 Gitsels, L.A., Kulinskaya, E., Wright, N.
British Actuarial Journal. How medical advances and health interventions will shape future longevity Publication Mar 2019 Gitsels, L.A., Kulinskaya, E., Wright, N.
ARC Annual Webinar Series 2018. Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding Longevity and Morbidity Presentation Sept 2018 Kulinskaya, E., Wright N.
The Actuary. Statins: Figures on the pulse Publication Aug 2018 Gitsels, L.A., Kulinskaya, E.
Evidence for LSE-Lancet Commission ‘The Future of the NHS’ IFoA response to London School of Economics and The Lancet Commission Publication July 2018 Kulinskaya, E

29th International Biometric Conference. The ideal blood pressure: assessment of fixed and variant targets over time in clinical trial and routine clinical practice

Presentation - slides July 2018 Gitsels, L.A.
Review of the Impact of Diabetes Mellitus II on Longevity and Morbidity Risk

Working Paper

June 2018 Ncube, N.
Review of Stroke Mortality and Morbidity in United Kingdom Working Paper June 2018 Chutoo, P.
Review of Hormone Replacement Therapy and its Impact on Morbidity and Longevity Working Paper June 2018 Akter, N.

IFoA Sessional. How medical advances and health interventions will shape future longevity

Presentation - slides June 2018 Gitsels, L.A., Kulinskaya, E., Wright, N.

International Congress of Actuaries. Role of medical advances in population longevity improvement. A case study on statins.

Presentation - slides June 2018

Gitsels, L.A., Kulinskaya, E., Steel, N., Wright, N.

Presentation - slides

May 2018 Hand, D.

IFoA Impact Workshop. Big Health and Actuarial Data: Overview

Presentation - slides

May 2018 Kulinskaya, E.

IFoA Impact Workshop. Big Health and Actuarial Data: Case Study (health)

Presentation - slides

May 2018 Steel, N.
IFoA Impact Workshop. Big Health and Actuarial Data: Case Study (actuarial) Presentation - slides May 2018 Wright, N.

IFoA Impact Workshop. Medical advances and the changing role of real-world evidence

Presentation - slides May 2018 Bouvy, J.

IFoA Impact Workshop. Setting mortality assumptions for the National Population Projections

Presentation - slides May 2018 Sanders, S.
IFoA Impact Workshop. Recent global mortality trends and their business relevance for insurers Presentation - slides May 2018 Lu, J.
2018 PRC Symposium on The Disruptive Impact of FinTech on Retirement Systems. How Medical Advances and Health Interventions Will Shape Future Longevity Presentation - slides May 2018 Kulinskaya, E.

IFoA Life Conference. Modelling Longevity Risks From the Primary Care Data

Presentation - slides Nov 2017

Kulinskaya, E., Gitsels, L. A.

IFoA Networking Event. Update on the findings of the research programme so far and future direction

Presentation Sept 2017 Gitsels, L. A., Kulinskaya, E., Steel N.
Royal Statistical Society 2017 Annual Conference. Intensive blood pressure targets in clinical trial versus primary care setting Presentation - slides Sept 2017 Bakbergenuly I.

38th Annual Conference of the International Society for Clinical Biostatistics.Outcomes of blood pressure targets in clinical trial versus primary care setting

Presentation - slides July 2017 Gitsels, L. A., Kulinskaya, E., Bakbergenuly I., Steel N.
ARC Annual Webinar. Use of Big Health and Actuarial Data for understanding Longevity and Morbidity Presentation - webinar June 2017 Kulinskaya, E., Wright N.
Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis International Society Conference. Effect of Statin Prescription on Individual and on Population Life expectancy Presentation June 2017 Gitsels, L. A., Kulinskaya, E., Bakbergenuly I.

Statistics and Data Science in the Digital Age Seminar. Making sense of big healthcare data – analysing longevity

Presentation - slides Mar 2017 Gitsels, L. A.
British Medical Journal. Survival prospects after acute myocardial infarction in the United Kingdom: a matched cohort study 1987-2011 Publication Jan 2017 Gitsels, L. A., Kulinskaya, E., Steel, N.

Longevity Bulletin Issue 9. Use of big health and actuarial data for understanding longevity and morbidity risk

Publication Dec 2016 Kulinskaya, E., Gitsels, L. A.

PLoS ONE. Survival benefits of statins for primary prevention

Publication Nov 2016 Gitsels, L. A., Kulinskaya, E., Steel, N.

Session at the International Mortality and Longevity Symposium. Use of routinely collected primary care data to model longevity and longevity improvement

Presentation - slides

Sept 2016 Gitsels, L. A., Kulinskaya, E.
Plenary talk at the International Mortality and Longevity Symposium. Obtaining public data for public purposes

Presentation - slides

Sept 2016 Kulinskaya, E.
The 51st Actuarial Research Conference. Use of large population-based primary care data to model variations and trends in life expectancy

Presentation - slides

July 2016 Kulinskaya, E., Wright N.
The 51st Actuarial Research Conference. Statistical Problems in Big Data

Presentation - slides

July 2016 Kulinskaya, E.
IFoA Data Science Universe event. Use of Big Data For Actuarial Research on Longevity

Presentation - slides

May 2016 Kulinskaya, E., Wright N.
The Telegraph. Scientists and insurers develop 'death clock' to predict when customers will die Press Mar 2016 The Telegraph

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Events calendar

  • The Growth Mindset for Actuaries

    13 October 2021 - 8 December 2021

    Fully booked.

    This practical course is aimed at actuaries at any stage of their career who want to develop their own growth mindset and apply it to their work setting and personal or professional lifelong learning. The content of the course builds on the lecture given by Dr Helen Wright on Growth Mindset as part of the President’s 2021 Lecture series, and will be delivered over a period of 2 months, from mid-October to early December.

  • Spaces available

    Actuaries need to take action now - but how?  With a focus on climate change, this session will provide informed insight to enable you to improve your knowledge and understanding of the issues involved, demonstrate how it will impact advice to your clients, and highlight prospective opportunities for actuaries within pensions and wider fields.

  • Spaces available

    A joint webinar from the CMI Mortality Projections and SAPS committees that will cover: recent mortality experience in the SAPS dataset and the general population; the CMI Model benchmarking survey; the MPC 2021 interim update paper; plans for CMI_2021; and initial thoughts on possible "S4" Series pensioner mortality tables.

    The webinar will be presented by Cobus Daneel (Chair of Mortality Projections Committee) and Matthew Fletcher (Chair of SAPS Committee).

  • Spaces available

    Pension scams have become more prevalent as a result of the pandemic, and Trustees have increased responsibilities to protect members, which means that actuaries need to be in a position to provide advice in this area. Our specialist panel will include a professional trustee, an IFA and head administrator, two of whom are members of PASA.

  • Spaces available

    The Covid-19 pandemic creates a challenge for actuaries analysing experience data that includes mortality shocks.  To address this we present a methodology for modelling portfolio mortality data that offers local flexibility in the time dimension.  The approach permits the identification of seasonal variation, mortality shocks, and late-reported deaths.  The methodology also allows actuaries to measure portfolio-specific mortality improvements.  Results are given for a mature annuity portfolio in the UK

  • Spaces available

    In this webinar, the authors of the 2021 Brian Hey prize winning paper present a new deep learning model called the LocalGLMnet. While deep learning models lead to very competitive regression models, often outperforming classical statistical models such as generalized linear models, the disadvantage is that deep learning solutions are difficult to interpret and explain, and variable selection is not easily possible.

  • Spaces available

    The dominant underwriting approach is a mix between rule-based engines and traditional underwriting. Applications are first assessed by automated rule-based engines which typically are capable of processing only simple applications. The remaining applications are reviewed by underwriters or referred to the reinsurers. This research aims to construct predictive machine learning models for complicated applications that cannot be processed by rule-based engines.

  • Spaces available

    With the Pension Schemes Act 2021 requiring a long term strategy from Trustees and sponsors, choosing a pensions endgame strategy has become even more critical. However, it is important that the endgame options available are adequately assessed before choosing one. With an ever-increasing array of creative and innovative options available, this decision may not be straightforward.