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Superseded investigations

In 2013, the CMI changed the structure of its investigations into the mortality experience of policyholders with assurances and annuitants of life offices, and the morbidity experience of critical illness policyholders

Life office mortality investigations - brief history

The life office mortality investigation is the longest running investigation of the CMI. The full history of the investigation is detailed in CMI Report 1. In November 2013 the CMI changed the structure of the life office mortality and critical illness investigations into annuitant mortality and assurances investigations: the latter focuses on both mortality and critical illness.

For information on the CMI's more recent work on life office mortality, please see the Annuities investigation and/or the Assurance investigation.

Data and methodology

The CMI’s life office mortality investigation collected what is termed “scheduled" data. That is, the data provided by contributing offices was in a census format containing the total numbers of policies (in force and deaths) split by age and duration. No policy specific details were requested from contributors. The analysis methodology is summarised in section 2 of CMI Working Paper 45.

Results

Contributing offices received results in respect of the business for which they have submitted data. Aggregate ‘All Office’ results are also produced.

Mortality tables

The '00' series base mortality tables were published in CMI Working Paper 21, CMI Working Paper 22 and CMI Report 23.

The '92' series base mortality tables and projections were published in CMI Report 17. An interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections was published in CMI Working Paper 1.

The '80' series base mortality tables and projections were published in CMI Report 10.

Earlier mortality tables were published in various printed volumes which are not available electronically.

Download all published CMI base mortality tables in Excel format.

Impaired assured lives investigation

Between the years 1982 and 2006, the CMI ran an investigation into the mortality of impaired assured lives. A report on the latest data and results, covering the years 1995 to 2006, is contained within CMI Working Paper 36.

Critical illness investigation - brief history

The CMI critical illness investigation started in 1999 with the first data collected in 2000. The first data collected pertained to claims settled during 1998 and 1999. The 1998 data was significantly lower in volume than subsequent years, so has not been analysed further.

In November 2013, the CMI changed the structure of the life office mortality and critical illness investigations into annuitant mortality and assurances investigations: the latter focuses on both mortality and critical illness.

For information on the CMI's more recent work on critical illness, please see the Assurances investigation.

Data, methodology and results

Data are collected for both ‘stand alone’ and ‘full accelerated’ (where the cover includes death as well as critical illness) business. 

In the early years of the investigation, critical illness data was collected annually from insurance companies on both policies in force and claims settled during an investigation year. The original analysis methodology is described in detail in CMI Working Paper 14. The results compared actual settled claims against expected diagnosed claims, calculated using CIBT93 (a population-based table which was originally contained in A Critical Review, presented to SIAS in 2000). These results have subsequently been referred to as ‘unadjusted results’.

In July 2008, a new methodology for analysing critical illness experience was presented in CMI Working Paper 33.  This produces results that compare actual settled claims with expected settled claims, referred to as ‘adjusted results’. These results properly match claims to exposure, but are difficult to interpret particularly in terms of duration.

A special initiative to capture 2007-2011 data was launched in 2012, allowing offices to submit data in a flexible format.  The data, methodology and results are all described in CMI Working Paper 75.

Critical illness diagnosis rate tables

The first set of insured lives accelerated critical illness diagnosis rates, based on 1999-2004 data, were presented in CMI Working Paper 43.

CMI Working Paper 50 updated these to 2003-2006 experience and formally presented tables of rates known as AC04. It is anticipated that these will be introduced as a comparison basis in future results.

CMI Working Paper 52 presented cause-specific diagnosis rates, again based on 2003-2006 data, and

CMI Working Paper 58 describes supplementary analyses designed to aid understanding of the AC04 Series rates.

Related documents

Contact Details

If you have any questions about the CMI please email

info@cmilimited.co.uk

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  • IFoA & PRI Webinar: TCFD – leaders and challenges

    Online webinar
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  • SIAS Event: Climate Zero to Climate Hero

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
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    An introductory session to help you get ahead with climate change.

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    5 September 2019

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    This KSS talk, presented by the FCA Head of Department in Scotland, will focus on the following 3 main areas:

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  • Professional Skills Training session (Jointly held with China Life)

    China Life Insurance, Beijing •  China Life Shanghai Office • China Life Shenzhen Office  
    6 September 2019

    Spaces available

    Friday, 6 September, Beijing Local Time (CST) 14.00-16.30; British Summer Time (BST) 07.00-9.30

    The IFoA Beijing Office and China Life are pleased to be co-hosting a Professional Skills Training (PST) session in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen on Friday, 6 September. Wen Li (FIA), the IFoA Lead Representative in China and East Asia, will lead the PST presentation and discussion on ‘Getting it right!’.

    The main venue will be in Beijing. Members in Shanghai and Shenzhen can join the interaction with Beijing via video conference at China Life’s regional venues. (see full details below)

  • GIRO Conference 2019

    EICC, The Exchange, 150 Morrison St, Edinburgh EH3 8EE
    24-26 September 2019
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    GIRO is attended annually by over 800 delegates and speakers who are keen to discuss key topics such as Pricing, Reserving, Modelling and the future of the insurance industry. GIRO 2018 was a huge success and we have opened bookings early for what we hope will be another brilliant conference at the EICC in Edinburgh this year. 

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  • Chief Actuaries and Senior Life Actuaries Workshop 2019

    Staple Inn Hall High Holborn London WC1V 7QJ
    2 October 2019

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    This workshop, now in its sixth year, is aimed at senior actuaries working in life insurance - predominantly Chief Actuaries, but also Reviewing Actuaries and others working in risk and financial reporting. It will provide seven hours of relevant CPD.

  • The Future of the Actuarial Profession

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn London WC1V 7QJ
    3 October 2019

    Fully booked.

     

    Three actuaries – and CEOs – discuss their views on how the business world is changing and what that might mean for actuaries in the future.

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    Have you ever thought about working in wider fields? Would you like to play a role in the fight against climate change to make the planet better? 

    It can be difficult to do this - but seeing an example you can follow can make it more realistic. In this ‘green’ case study a template is outlined to show how actuaries can apply their skills more broadly - and in doing so, to make a difference.

  • RSS/IFoA Data Science Ethics: the role of practitioners

    Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol St, London EC1Y 8LX
    7 October 2019

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    Join us for the launch of this new guidance, with a high-level panel discussion which will explore the role of data science practitioners and professional bodies in data ethics. 

  • Sessional Meeting - Autonomous Vehicles and impacts on the wider insurance industry

    Staple Inn, High Holborn, London WC1V 7QJ         
    28 October 2019

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    The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries is running a sessional meeting on autonomous vehicles on 28th October.  The session will showcase the work of the IFoA “Autonomous Vehicles” working party alongside a number of expert external presenters. 

  • ARC Event: Beyond Proportional Hazards

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    30 October 2019

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    ARC Event: Beyond Proportional Hazards: Statistical methods for assessment of the impact of medical advances and health interventions on longevity and population projections.

    This workshop is being delivered by the Actuarial Research Centre’s (ARC) ‘Big Health and Actuarial Data’ Research Programme.

  • Hot Topics in Health and Care: Networking and Drinks

    Staple Inn, 4 High Holborn, London WC1V 6DR
    4 November 2019

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    This evening will feature two new cases studies that highlight the implications for insurers of issues impacting on health and mortality for life, pensions, and health and care products; Impactability modelling: a worked example in Type II diabetes presented by Josephine Robertson, and Seasonal Mortality in England and Wales 1993-2016 presented by Mary Hall, Dublin City University.

  • Autumn Pension Seminar

    Grand Connaught Rooms, 61-65 Great Queen St, Holborn, London WC2B 5DA
    13 November 2019

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    Join us for this brand new seminar that brings together our Current Issues in Pensions, Pensions and the Law, and Investment for Pension Actuaries events. The seminar builds on the IFoA’s Annual Pension Conference with sessions covering CDC, TPR’s code of practice, investments, legal updates and Professional Skills Training with a focus on interactive discussion throughout.

    • KSS event: How is Scotland’s population changing and what are the implications?

      Barnett Waddingham, 163 West George Street, Glasgow, G2 2JJ
      14 November 2019

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      The National Records of Scotland (NRS) collects, preserves and produces information about Scotland's people and history to inform current and future generations - work that underpins the fabric of Scottish society and tells the story of our nation. This KSS talk will explore the following and other areas impacting Scotland’s changing population, and assess the potential implications of the changes:

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    • Life Conference 2019

      The Convention Centre Dublin, Spencer Dock, North Wall Quay, Dublin 1
      20-22 November 2019
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      The Life Conference is the premier event for professionals interested in life insurance.  Offering a wide range of workshops and plenary sessions it’s the perfect opportunity to discover what’s hot and current in life insurance ensuring you get up to date on the latest thinking and innovation whilst meeting and exchanging ideas with a broad range of professionals.

    • Autumn Lecture 2019, London - Rt Hon Nicky Morgan MP

      Lincoln's Inn The Treasury Office, London WC2A 3TL
      2 December 2019

      Fully booked.

      The IFoA is pleased to announce that this year’s Autumn Lecture will feature the Rt Hon Nicky Morgan MP as its guest speaker.  Nicky has previously served as Financial Secretary to the Treasury and Minister for Women. She now chairs the Treasury Select Committee whose remit is to examine the expenditure, administration and policy of HM Treasury, along with all of its agencies and associated bodies.

    • Autumn Lecture 2019: Live Streaming

      Webinar 
      2 December 2019

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      Watch the live stream of this year's Autumn Lecture with guest speaker Rt Hon Nicky Morgan MP. 

    • Behavioural Finance Research Launch- 14 January 2020

      Staple Inn, 4 High Holborn, Holborn, London WC1V 6DR
      14 January 2020

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      We are delighted to announce the launch of the findings from our ARC funded Behavioural Finance research with a special evening event at Staple Inn on Tuesday14th January 2020. Entitled Behavioural Aspects of Institutional Investment Decision-Making, this research programme is being delivered by City, University of London, Leeds University Business School and Ipsos.