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Mortality Projections

Working Paper 119 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2018 (v01 issue date: 07/03/2019; v02 issue date: 02/04/2019)
Working Paper 116 The value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk1, in CMI_2018 (Issue date: 01/02/2019)
Working Paper 115

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Interim update (v01 issue date: 19/12/2018; v02 issue date 07/03/2019

Working Paper 114

 Consultation on the value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk (Issue date: 07/12/2018; response date: 18/01/2019)
Working Paper 111 Regular monitoring of England & Wales population mortality (Issue date: 23/10/2018; response date: 30/11/2018)
Working Paper 105 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2017 (v01 issue date: 01/03/2018; v02 issue date: 08/05/2018)
Working Paper 103

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Mid-year update (Issue date: 08/11/2017)
Working paper 99

CMI Mortality Projections Model: Software user guide (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)
Working paper 98 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Methods (Issue date: 27/03/2017)
Working paper 97

CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2016 (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)
Working paper 93 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Consultation responses and plans for CMI_2016 (Issue date 29/11/2016; Reissued 02/12/2016)
Working paper 91 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation - technical paper.  (Issues date 31/08/2016)
Working paper 90 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation. (Issue date 22/06/2016; Reissued 31/08/2016; Response date 30/09/2016 )
Working paper 85 Initial report on the features of high age mortality.  (Issue date 16/10/2015)

Working paper 84

 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2015. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 83

 Recent mortality in England and Wales. (Issue date 28/09/2015. Reissued 06/10/2015)

Working paper 82

 The CMI format for heatmaps of mortality improvements. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 80

 The release dates of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model (issue date: 26/06/2015)

Working paper 79

 Consultation on the release date of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model.  (Issue date: 16/03/2015; Response date: 16/04/2015)

Working paper 77

 Report of the Graduation and Modelling Working Party (Issue date 06/03/2015)

Working paper 74

 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2014 (Issue date: 24/11/2014; Response date: N/A)
Working paper 69 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2013, and feedback on the consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model. (Issue date: 13/09/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 64

 Consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 12/4/2013; Response date: 31/05/2013)

Working paper 63

 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2012 (Issue date: 08/02/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 55

 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2011 (Issue date: 16/09/2011)

Working paper 54

 Advancing the release date of the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 04/08/2011; Response date: 09/09/2011)

Working paper 49

 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, 'CMI_2010' (Issue date: 23/11/2010; Response date: n/a)

Working paper 41

 CMI Mortality Projections Model - feedback on consultation and issue of 'CMI_2009' (Issue date: 25/11/2009)

Working paper 39

 A prototype mortality projections model: Part two - a detailed analysis (Issue date: 7/07/2009)

Working paper 38

 A prototype mortality projections model: Part one - an outline of the proposed approach (Issue date: 19/06/2009)

Working paper 37

 Version 1.1 of the CMI library of mortality projections (Issue date: 13/03/2009)
Working paper 30 and the Library of mortality projections The CMI Library of mortality projections (Issue date: 23/11/2007)

Working paper 27

 The "library" of mortality projections (Issue date: 11/07/2007)

Working paper 25

 Stochastic projection methodologies: Lee-Carter model features, example results and implications (Issue date: 03/04/2007)

Working paper 20

 Stochastic projection methodologies: further progress and P-Spline model features, example results and implication (Issue date: 05/04/2006)

Working paper 15

 Projecting future mortality: towards a proposal for a stochastic methodology (Issue date: 20/07/2005)

Working paper 10

 The mortality of impaired assured lives, 1991-2002 (Issue date: 08/11/2004)

Working paper 8

 Considerations for the graduation of the 1999-2002 mortality experience (Issue date: 20/08/2004)

Working paper 3

 Projecting future mortality: a discussion paper (Issue date: 12/03/2004)

Working paper 2

 Responses to the draft report entitled A proposed interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects and further commentary thereon. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

Working paper 1

 An interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

 

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Events calendar

  • Life Conference 2019

    The Convention Centre Dublin, Spencer Dock, North Wall Quay, Dublin 1
    20-22 November 2019
    Fully booked.

    The Life Conference is the premier event for professionals interested in life insurance.  Offering a wide range of workshops and plenary sessions it’s the perfect opportunity to discover what’s hot and current in life insurance ensuring you get up to date on the latest thinking and innovation whilst meeting and exchanging ideas with a broad range of professionals.

  • KSS event: Climate change, ESG and what it means for Insurers

    PwC Edinburgh, Atria 1, 144 Morrison St, Edinburgh
    2 December 2019

    Spaces available

    Speaker: Pallavi Konwar

    Pallavi has a background in banking and asset management as well as within government. She started her career at Wall Street in New York, where she worked for Citigroup on mortgage securitisations and collateral analysis. Before joining PwC, she worked within the Infrastructure UK team at HM Treasury. where she was responsible for contributing to the National Infrastructure Plan and reporting on the performance and delivery of nationally significant infrastructure projects.

  • Autumn Lecture 2019, London - Dr Kay Swinburne

    Lincoln's Inn The Treasury Office, London WC2A 3TL
    2 December 2019

    Spaces available

    We are delighted to announce that Dr Kay Swinburne will deliver this year’s lecture, "It’s not all about the numbers – regulatory challenges for UK financial services post-Brexit"

  • SIAS Event: Discount Rates are Flawed

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    3 December 2019

    Spaces available

    This talk will be given by Jon Spain who, as far back as 1983, has been working independently, trying to bring “long-term” back to UK actuarial thinking. His current focus is on discount rates (see discrate.com).

  • A Holistic Study into Cash flow Driven Investment

    Staple Inn, 4 High Holborn, Holborn, London WC1V 6DR, UK
    4 December 2019

    Spaces available

    Given that Cashflow Driven Investment strategy has attracted growing interests from pension funds and insurers at the backdrop of current market conditions and clients’ circumstances, the objective of this event is to gather thought leaders from asset managers, banks and insurers to offer attendees their perspectives and insights on main aspects of consideration when adopting this strategy.

  • Your Actuarial Career: Managing Career Breaks

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    5 December 2019

    Spaces available

    Maternity or paternity leave, sabbaticals to study or travel, managing care responsibilities or escaping unemployment – Join Chika Aghadiuno and a panel of IFoA guests including Liz Drummond, Founder & CEO of Women Ahead (International), and Lee Faulkner, Financial Wellbeing Actuary, First Actuarial, to explore the issues around career breaks from the perspective of an employee and an employer.

  • Sessional Meeting - Silent Cyber Assessment Framework

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    9 December 2019

    Spaces available

    The (re)insurance industry is faced with a growing risk related to the development of information technology (IT). This growth is creating an increasingly digitally interconnected world with more and more dependence being placed on IT systems to manage processes.

  • Professional Skills Training - London (10 December 2019)

    Staple Inn, High Holborn, London WC1V 7QJ  
    10 December 2019

    Spaces available

    This event will be of interest to students and recently qualified actuaries.

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020.  The content and discussion at this session is particularly tailored to actuarial students and newly qualified actuaries working in any area and the format is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions with your peers.

  • SIAS Event: My Journey to Data Science, Big Data and AI

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    7 January 2020

    Spaces available

    Patrick Lee is an actuary who has made the transition to working in software architecture and artificial intelligence (AI). He holds Microsoft Professional qualifications in Data Science, Big Data and AI and is currently working towards a DevOps (the automation of software testing and deployment) qualification. He is a member of the IFoA Council and is also President of the Wessex Actuarial Society. He is also a member of the IFoA and the RSS's joint Data Science Focus Group and will talk on the ethical use of AI. 

  • NoCA event - The Matching Adjustment Calculation

    N/A
    10 January 2020

    Spaces available

    This presentation covers the detail for how the matching adjustment is calculated. A small simple example spreadsheet is provided and discussed in detail.

    For actuaries wanting to get more involved with the matching adjustment, this is the opportunity to get a detailed description of the mechanics involved. This includes cashflows derisking, PRA tests as well as hypothecation.

    The presentation is provided by James Sharpe who has worked on a number of matching adjustment calculations with several firms.

  • IFoA Volunteer Recognition Reception

    Staple Inn, 4 High Holborn, Holborn, London WC1V 6DR, UK
    15 January 2020

    Spaces available

    As a thank you to all our Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) volunteers, you are invited to join us at Staple Inn Hall, for an evening of drinks, canapes and networking, in London.

    IFoA President, John Taylor, will be attending and will make a speech

    If you support the IFoA as a volunteer (member or non-member), or in any other role, and you are going to be in London on 15 January, please book your place and join us at this reception.

     

  • Professional Skills Training - London (16 January 2020)

    Staple Inn, High Holborn, London WC1V 7QJ
    16 January 2020

    Spaces available

    A Trusted Profession

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020.  This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Pensions, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • Sessional Meeting - Operational Risk Dependencies

    Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh 9 Queen St Edinburgh EH2 1JQ
    20 January 2020

    Spaces available

    The Operational Risk Working Party aims to assist actuaries and others in the modelling and management of operational risk. One of the key challenges in modelling operational risk is the modelling of dependencies between operational risks, and between operational and non-operational risks such as market, credit and insurance risk. Their paper seeks to assist in this regard, and help develop good practice in setting assumptions and modelling operational risk dependencies. 

  • Professional Skills Training - Edinburgh (23 January 2020)

    IFoA (Edinburgh), Level 2, Exchange Crescent 7 Conference Square Edinburgh EH3 8RA
    23 January 2020

    Spaces available

    A Trusted Profession

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020.  This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Pensions, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • ARC Sessional Research Event

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    3 February 2020

    Spaces available

    This sessional will be delivered by members of the research team working on the ARC “Big Health & Actuarial Data’ research programme, led by Professor Elena Kulinskaya (University of East Anglia).

  • Professional Skills Training - London (11 February 2020)

    Staple Inn, High Holborn, London WC1V 7QJ         
    11 February 2020

    Spaces available

    A Trusted Profession

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020.  This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Pensions, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • Sessional: Impact of E-cigarettes Working Party

    Royal College of Physicians, 9 Queen St, Edinburgh EH2 1JQ
    24 February 2020

    Spaces available

    This sessional meeting will be of direct interest to actuaries and others working in the in the Health and Care, Life or Pensions sectors or indeed actuaries with an interest in morbidity or mortality.

  • Professional Skills Training - Edinburgh (25 February 2020)

    IFoA (Edinburgh), Level 2, Exchange Crescent 7 Conference Square Edinburgh EH3 8RA
    25 February 2020

    Spaces available

    A Trusted Profession

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2019/2020.  This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Pensions, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • IFoA Asia Conference 2020, Kuala Lumpur

    CCEC Nexus, 7, Jalan Kerinchi, Bangsar South, 59200 Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
    24-25 June 2020
    Spaces available

    The sixth annual Asia Conference once again offers a prestigious line-up of home and international speakers discussing the insurance and financial industry’s innovation and change in Asia. This year's conference in Kuala Lumpur will be hosted by Tan Suee Chieh, IFoA’s first Asian President. He will also make his Presidential address at this conference and will expand on the important elements of IFoA’s new strategy. 

    Additionally, this landmark conference will showcase how the IFoA is reinventing itself to support its members to succeed and thrive in a digital age, within traditional businesses and beyond, as a global organisation. 

    No tot be missed by international industry players, opinion formers, academic and industry leaders, actuaries and non-actuaries.