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Mortality Projections

Working Paper 119 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2018 (Issue date: 07/03/2019)
Working Paper 116 The value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk1, in CMI_2018 (Issue date: 01/02/2019)
Working Paper 115

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Interim update (v01 issue date: 19/12/2018; v02 issue date 07/03/2019

Working Paper 114

Consultation on the value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk (Issue date: 07/12/2018; response date: 18/01/2019)
Working Paper 111 Regular monitoring of England & Wales population mortality (Issue date: 23/10/2018; response date: 30/11/2018)
Working Paper 105 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2017 (v01 issue date: 01/03/2018; v02 issue date: 08/05/2018)
Working Paper 103

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Mid-year update (Issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 99

CMI Mortality Projections Model: Software user guide (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 98 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Methods (Issue date: 27/03/2017)
Working paper 97

CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2016 (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 93 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Consultation responses and plans for CMI_2016 (Issue date 29/11/2016; Reissued 02/12/2016)
Working paper 91 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation - technical paper.  (Issues date 31/08/2016)
Working paper 90 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation. (Issue date 22/06/2016; Reissued 31/08/2016; Response date 30/09/2016 )
Working paper 85 Initial report on the features of high age mortality.  (Issue date 16/10/2015)

Working paper 84

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2015. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 83

Recent mortality in England and Wales. (Issue date 28/09/2015. Reissued 06/10/2015)

Working paper 82

The CMI format for heatmaps of mortality improvements. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 80

The release dates of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model (issue date: 26/06/2015)

Working paper 79

Consultation on the release date of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model.  (Issue date: 16/03/2015; Response date: 16/04/2015)

Working paper 77

Report of the Graduation and Modelling Working Party (Issue date 06/03/2015)

Working paper 74

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2014 (Issue date: 24/11/2014; Response date: N/A)
Working paper 69 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2013, and feedback on the consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model. (Issue date: 13/09/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 64

Consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 12/4/2013; Response date: 31/05/2013)

Working paper 63

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2012 (Issue date: 08/02/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 55

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2011 (Issue date: 16/09/2011)

Working paper 54

Advancing the release date of the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 04/08/2011; Response date: 09/09/2011)

Working paper 49

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, 'CMI_2010' (Issue date: 23/11/2010; Response date: n/a)

Working paper 41

CMI Mortality Projections Model - feedback on consultation and issue of 'CMI_2009' (Issue date: 25/11/2009)

Working paper 39

A prototype mortality projections model: Part two - a detailed analysis (Issue date: 7/07/2009)

Working paper 38

A prototype mortality projections model: Part one - an outline of the proposed approach (Issue date: 19/06/2009)

Working paper 37

Version 1.1 of the CMI library of mortality projections (Issue date: 13/03/2009)
Working paper 30 and the Library of mortality projections The CMI Library of mortality projections (Issue date: 23/11/2007)

Working paper 27

The "library" of mortality projections (Issue date: 11/07/2007)

Working paper 25

Stochastic projection methodologies: Lee-Carter model features, example results and implications (Issue date: 03/04/2007)

Working paper 20

Stochastic projection methodologies: further progress and P-Spline model features, example results and implication (Issue date: 05/04/2006)

Working paper 15

Projecting future mortality: towards a proposal for a stochastic methodology (Issue date: 20/07/2005)

Working paper 10

The mortality of impaired assured lives, 1991-2002 (Issue date: 08/11/2004)

Working paper 8

Considerations for the graduation of the 1999-2002 mortality experience (Issue date: 20/08/2004)

Working paper 3

Projecting future mortality: a discussion paper (Issue date: 12/03/2004)

Working paper 2

Responses to the draft report entitled A proposed interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects and further commentary thereon. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

Working paper 1

An interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

 

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Events calendar

  • Data Science: Opportunities for Actuaries

    The IFoA's first virtual event   
    26 February 2019 - 29 March 2019

    Spaces available

    The IFoA are launching their first virtual conference on the topic of Data Science, that is free to attend. This is an exciting and forward thinking move to reach members all over the world and to share knowledge and discuss developments and techniques within data science.

  • WCA event – The cost and value of pensions

    Woolf College Lecture Theatre Canterbury CT2 7BQ
    27 March 2019

    Spaces available

    The cost of pensions is a regular source of debate. But how should pensions be valued? And how has this value changed over times? Paul Sweeting will discuss how these questions can be answered, and their relevance to the current pensions issues.

    To book please email Mark Heller M.Heller@kent.ac.uk

  • SIAS Event: Mortality Improvements Outlook 2019+

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    2 April 2019

    Spaces available

    The CMI Mortality Projections Committee will lead a discussion on mortality projections and how they can be modelled in CMI_2018, including:

    • Recent mortality, and how current improvements vary between different population
    • Long-term prospects for mortality improvements
    • The pace of convergence to the long-term rate
  • Webinar – So You Want to be a NED?

    WEBINAR After registration, you will receive an email confirmation with details on how to access the webinar from your PC, laptop, tablet or mobile.
    3 April 2019

    Spaces available

    Are you considering becoming a NED? Join our facilitated webinar where a panel of experienced NEDs will discuss:

    How you can get started • What qualities and skills are needed to be a NED • What learning and development requirements do you need • Where you can find the necessary resources to build your skills • How a NED role can expand your thinking • How it can enrich your working experience and career • The benefits to being a NED

  • UK Bodily Injury Claims Settlement Framework

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn London WC1V 7QJ
    9 April 2019

    Spaces available

    Amid significant UK political uncertainty, the bodily injury settlement framework has continued to make progress. At the time of the Ogden discount rate change of early 2017 and throughout that year, Staple Inn was host to a set of events to discuss the changes and the subsequent MOJ review.

  • Professional Skills Training - London (16 April 19)

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn London WC1V 7QJ
    16 April 2019

    Fully booked.

    Please register here to join the wait list

    A 2 hour CPD event designed to meet the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training under the IFoA’s CPD Scheme 2018/2019.  This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Pensions, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • TIGI 2019 (Technical Issues in General Insurance)

    Royal College of Physicians, 11 St Andrews Place, Regent's Park, London, NW1 4LE
    25-26 April 2019
    Spaces available

    This General Insurance CPD offering has been changed from former years of individual one day seminars to include individual sessions for IFRS 17, Pricing, Capital Modelling and Reserving over a two-day event  packaged as Technical Issues in General Insurance, providing attendees with a varied program . The event is suitable for anyone who works, or are interested, in these areas.

  • IFoA Asia Conference 2019, Chengdu

    Crowne Plaza Chengdu Panda Garden, Poly Park 198, No. 1980 ShuLong Avenue,Xindu District, Chengdu
    09-10 May 2019
    Spaces available

    IfoA Logo for eventsOffering a diverse selection of plenary sessions and cross-practice workshops, the annual Asia Conference is the perfect opportunity to discover and discuss current and developing actuarial topics in Asia, whilst providing excellent opportunity to grow your network of contacts.

  • CILA 2019

    30 Euston Square, London NW1 2FB
    14 May 2019

    Spaces available

    CILA is one of the pre-eminent events in the annual Life calendar. It is aimed at practicing life actuaries from life offices, consulting firms and other employers of actuaries. It will also be of interest to all those who work in or advise on, the life assurance market in the UK and Europe.

  • KSS event – Bulk Annuity Market Update

    Willis Towers Watson 2 Lochrin Square, 96 Fountainbridge, Edinburgh EH3 9QA
    15 May 2019

    Spaces available

    This KSS talk will give a bulk annuity market update over 2018 and for 2019 and beyond.  The presenters will also consider bulk annuity options as part of pension scheme de-risking strategies, and how pension schemes can best prepare when requesting a quote in order to achieve a favourable outcome. To book please email Dawn.Neil@willistowerswatson.com.

  • KSS event – Bulk Annuity Market Update

    Willis Towers Watson 2 West Regent Street Glasgow G2 1RW
    16 May 2019

    Spaces available

    This KSS talk will give a bulk annuity market update over 2018 and for 2019 and beyond. The presenters will also consider bulk annuity options as part of pension scheme de-risking strategies, and how pension schemes can best prepare when requesting a quote in order to achieve a favourable outcome. To book a place please email Dawn.Neil@willistowerswatson.com

  • Risk and Investment Conference 2019

    Amba Hotel, Charing Cross, Strand, London WC2N 5HX
    20-21 May 2019
    Spaces available

    This year's Risk and Investment Conference will be taking place at Amba Hotel, Charing Cross, London.

    To book your place click here.

     

  • Sessional Research Event - Saving for Retirement: Rules of Thumb

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn London WC1V 7QJ
    20 May 2019

    Spaces available

    How much does the average person need to save over a full working life to provide a decent retirement income? We call this the Lifetime Pension Contribution (LPC) and have attempted to quantify it.

  • NED Event: Behavioural Finance and Boards

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    18 June 2019

    Spaces available

    Substantial work has been undertaken in the field of behavioural finance to explore the psychological factors affecting investment decisions made by individuals.  In contrast, “behavioural” factors (such as politics or human psychology) affecting decisions and actions made by institutional investors, such as insurers or pension schemes, are less understood.

  • Pensions Conference 2019

    Bristol Marriott Hotel City Centre, 2 Lower Castle Street, Old Market, Bristol, BS1 3AD
    18-19 June 2019
    Spaces available

    Covering current topics and industry trends, the conference also includes a pre-conference evening dinner (18 June) giving you the opportunity to develop your network. 

  • Current Issues in General Insurance (CIGI) 2019

    Inmarsat, 99 City Road, London, EC1Y 1BJ
    19 June 2019

    Spaces available

    CIGI will provide an excellent and diverse line-up of speakers, each providing their insight and knowledge on a range of topics.  The programme will be broad in nature, so will be of most value to those with some experience in the industry. 

  • SIAS: The Impact of Air Pollution on Health and Life Expectancy

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    2 July 2019

    Spaces available

    Air pollution has gained increasing attention lately. Nicola Oliver, head of longevity and mortality research for Medical Intelligence, will discuss not only the impacts of air pollution on health and life expectancy but also how as an industry we should be addressing it.