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Mortality Projections

Working Paper 119 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2018 (v01 issue date: 07/03/2019; v02 issue date: 02/04/2019)
Working Paper 116 The value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk1, in CMI_2018 (Issue date: 01/02/2019)
Working Paper 115

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Interim update (v01 issue date: 19/12/2018; v02 issue date 07/03/2019

Working Paper 114

Consultation on the value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk (Issue date: 07/12/2018; response date: 18/01/2019)
Working Paper 111 Regular monitoring of England & Wales population mortality (Issue date: 23/10/2018; response date: 30/11/2018)
Working Paper 105 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2017 (v01 issue date: 01/03/2018; v02 issue date: 08/05/2018)
Working Paper 103

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Mid-year update (Issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 99

CMI Mortality Projections Model: Software user guide (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 98 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Methods (Issue date: 27/03/2017)
Working paper 97

CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2016 (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 93 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Consultation responses and plans for CMI_2016 (Issue date 29/11/2016; Reissued 02/12/2016)
Working paper 91 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation - technical paper.  (Issues date 31/08/2016)
Working paper 90 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation. (Issue date 22/06/2016; Reissued 31/08/2016; Response date 30/09/2016 )
Working paper 85 Initial report on the features of high age mortality.  (Issue date 16/10/2015)

Working paper 84

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2015. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 83

Recent mortality in England and Wales. (Issue date 28/09/2015. Reissued 06/10/2015)

Working paper 82

The CMI format for heatmaps of mortality improvements. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 80

The release dates of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model (issue date: 26/06/2015)

Working paper 79

Consultation on the release date of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model.  (Issue date: 16/03/2015; Response date: 16/04/2015)

Working paper 77

Report of the Graduation and Modelling Working Party (Issue date 06/03/2015)

Working paper 74

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2014 (Issue date: 24/11/2014; Response date: N/A)
Working paper 69 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2013, and feedback on the consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model. (Issue date: 13/09/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 64

Consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 12/4/2013; Response date: 31/05/2013)

Working paper 63

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2012 (Issue date: 08/02/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 55

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2011 (Issue date: 16/09/2011)

Working paper 54

Advancing the release date of the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 04/08/2011; Response date: 09/09/2011)

Working paper 49

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, 'CMI_2010' (Issue date: 23/11/2010; Response date: n/a)

Working paper 41

CMI Mortality Projections Model - feedback on consultation and issue of 'CMI_2009' (Issue date: 25/11/2009)

Working paper 39

A prototype mortality projections model: Part two - a detailed analysis (Issue date: 7/07/2009)

Working paper 38

A prototype mortality projections model: Part one - an outline of the proposed approach (Issue date: 19/06/2009)

Working paper 37

Version 1.1 of the CMI library of mortality projections (Issue date: 13/03/2009)
Working paper 30 and the Library of mortality projections The CMI Library of mortality projections (Issue date: 23/11/2007)

Working paper 27

The "library" of mortality projections (Issue date: 11/07/2007)

Working paper 25

Stochastic projection methodologies: Lee-Carter model features, example results and implications (Issue date: 03/04/2007)

Working paper 20

Stochastic projection methodologies: further progress and P-Spline model features, example results and implication (Issue date: 05/04/2006)

Working paper 15

Projecting future mortality: towards a proposal for a stochastic methodology (Issue date: 20/07/2005)

Working paper 10

The mortality of impaired assured lives, 1991-2002 (Issue date: 08/11/2004)

Working paper 8

Considerations for the graduation of the 1999-2002 mortality experience (Issue date: 20/08/2004)

Working paper 3

Projecting future mortality: a discussion paper (Issue date: 12/03/2004)

Working paper 2

Responses to the draft report entitled A proposed interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects and further commentary thereon. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

Working paper 1

An interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

 

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Events calendar

  • SIAS Event: Navigating Organisational Politics Positively

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    3 June 2019

    Spaces available

    The term 'office politics' usually has a lot of negative connotations and indeed an inability to be able to navigate an organisation's formal processes and interact effectively with others at work can have far reaching adverse consequences.

  • Spaces available

    Public scrutiny of what investment funds deliver for consumers continues to be high profile, with the FCA’s Asset Management Market Study requiring fund managers to make (and publish) an annual assessment of value for authorised funds from the end of 2019.

  • Reimagining ageing

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn London WC1V 7Q
    14 June 2019

    Spaces available

    Reimagining ageing, hosted by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, in partnership with the ILC

  • Spaces available

    Increasing global concern over the impact of climate change has recently led to public scrutiny over the adequacy of existing risk management practices by insurance firms and pension schemes in dealing with these challenges, that potentially impact both individual actuaries and the IFOA generally.

     

  • Pensions Conference 2019

    Bristol Marriott Hotel City Centre, 2 Lower Castle Street, Old Market, Bristol, BS1 3AD
    18-19 June 2019
    Spaces available

    Covering current topics and industry trends, the conference also includes a pre-conference evening dinner (18 June) giving you the opportunity to develop your network. 

  • KSS event – FinTech and The Actuarial Profession

    EY, Atria One, 144 Morrison Street, Edinburgh
    19 June 2019

    Spaces available

    This KSS talk from FinTech Scotland's CEO will explore the mission to create an integrated Fintech ecosystem through provision of funding, support, infrastructure and talent that recognises and responds to the needs of all stakeholders - and the overarching aim for Scotland to be one of the top 5 Fintech global leaders by 2020.

    To book your place, please email Barry_Shannon@standardlife.com 

  • Current Issues in General Insurance (CIGI) 2019

    Inmarsat, 99 City Road, London, EC1Y 1BJ
    19 June 2019

    Spaces available

    CIGI is a well-established one-day seminar designed to increase awareness and encourage discussion on a variety of topical issues across the general insurance industry. 

    There will be an excellent and diverse line-up of speakers to provide a variety of perspectives and challenge covering technical and professional areas. 

  • Cass Event – New Thinking about Deferred Annuities

    Cass Business School, Executive Education Facilities 200 Aldersgate St, London EC1A 4HD
    21 June 2019

    Spaces available

    Our motivation for discussing this important subject comes from some exciting recent research which has analysed the impact of behavioural factors on the decision to purchase an annuity. This work has shown that behavioural factors can explain the well-known low demand for immediate annuities but this research also identifies an important opportunity in relation to deferred annuities (DA). The research suggests that these factors lead to positive incentives to purchase a DA and that, for longer deferred periods, a DA could be an attractive product for both consumers and insurers.

  • IFoA/SAS Joint Professional Skills Training – Singapore

    Room 903, NTUC Centre, Level 9, One Marina Boulevard, Singapore 018989
    25 June 2019

    Spaces available

    The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) and Singapore Actuarial Society (SAS) are organising a joint Professional Skills Training (PST) in Singapore. This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Life, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • AGM and Presidential Address 2019 + Volunteer and Member Drinks Reception

    The Hub  Castlehill Edinburgh EH1 2NE
    26 June 2019

    Spaces available

    Notice is hereby given that the ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING of the INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES will be held at The Hub, Edinburgh on Wednesday 26 June 2019 at 16.30 (Preceded by tea from 16.00) and followed by a PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS given by John Taylor.

  • IFAM event - Actuarial Teachers’ & Researchers’ Conference 2019

    Institute for Financial and Actuarial Mathematics Department of Mathematical  Sciences The University of Liverpool Mathematical Sciences Building Peach Street Liverpool, L69 7ZL
    27 June 2019 - 29 June 2019

    Spaces available

    The Institute for Financial and Actuarial Mathematics (IFAM) at the University of Liverpool is pleased to host the 2019 Actuarial Teachers’ and Researchers’ Conference from 27-28 June 2019. This annual two-day event has been running annually now for many years, each time hosted by a different university, and provides all those interested in actuarial research and education a great opportunity to share their ideas and catch up on the latest developments.

  • IFoA/ASM Joint Professional Skills Training – Kuala Lumpur

    Menara AIA, Auditorium, 99 Jalan Ampang, 50450, Kuala Lumpur
    28 June 2019

    Spaces available

    The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) and Actuarial Society of Malaysia (ASM) are organising a joint Professional Skills Training (PST) in Kuala Lumpur. This session is suitable for actuaries working in any area (i.e. it is not specifically aimed at Life, GI or any other technical discipline) and is interactive, so you should come along prepared to take part in the discussions.

  • SIAS: The Impact of Air Pollution on Health and Life Expectancy

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    2 July 2019

    Spaces available

    Air pollution has gained increasing attention lately. Nicola Oliver, head of longevity and mortality research for Medical Intelligence, will discuss not only the impacts of air pollution on health and life expectancy but also how as an industry we should be addressing it.

  • GIRO Conference 2019

    EICC, The Exchange, 150 Morrison St, Edinburgh EH3 8EE
    24-26 September 2019
    Spaces available

    GIRO is attended annually by over 800 delegates and speakers who are keen to discuss key topics such as Pricing, Reserving, Modelling and the future of the insurance industry. GIRO 2018 was a huge success and we have opened bookings early for what we hope will be another brilliant conference at the EICC in Edinburgh this year.